Should We Be Excited About The Trends Of Returns At JCDecaux (EPA:DEC)?
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating JCDecaux (EPA:DEC), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for JCDecaux:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0058 = €46m ÷ (€11b - €2.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
So, JCDecaux has an ROCE of 0.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Media industry average of 10%.
See our latest analysis for JCDecaux
Above you can see how the current ROCE for JCDecaux compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering JCDecaux here for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at JCDecaux doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 8.5% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
In Conclusion...
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by JCDecaux's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 43% from where it was five years ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
JCDecaux does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ENXTPA:DEC
Solid track record with limited growth.