Stock Analysis

Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme (EPA:ALPUL) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

ENXTPA:ALPUL
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Last week's profit announcement from Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme (EPA:ALPUL) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.

View our latest analysis for Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme

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ENXTPA:ALPUL Earnings and Revenue History January 2nd 2025

Examining Cashflow Against Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to September 2024, Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme had an accrual ratio of 43.50. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of €13.7m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through €12b in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of €12b, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to consider. We can look at how unusual items in the profit and loss statement impacted its accrual ratio, as well as explore how dilution is impacting shareholders negatively.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme expanded the number of shares on issue by 33% over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

As it happens, we don't know how much the company made or lost three years ago, because we don't have the data. Zooming in to the last year, we still can't talk about growth rates coherently, since it made a loss last year. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). Therefore, one can observe that the dilution is having a fairly profound effect on shareholder returns.

In the long term, if Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by €6.8m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme's Profit Performance

Summing up, Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme's unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings were temporarily depressed, and its accrual ratio indicates a lack of free cash flow relative to profit. And the dilution means that per-share results are weaker than the bottom line might imply. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be familiar with.

Our examination of Pullup Entertainment Société anonyme has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.