Stock Analysis

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Vicat SA (EPA:VCT)?

ENXTPA:VCT
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While Vicat SA (EPA:VCT) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the ENXTPA over the last few months, increasing to €44.30 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €37.80. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Vicat's current trading price of €39.45 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Vicat’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Vicat

What's the opportunity in Vicat?

Good news, investors! Vicat is still a bargain right now according to my price multiple model, which compares the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 7.83x is currently well-below the industry average of 15.2x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. What’s more interesting is that, Vicat’s share price is quite volatile, which gives us more chances to buy since the share price could sink lower (or rise higher) in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Vicat generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTPA:VCT Earnings and Revenue Growth October 10th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -1.6% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Vicat. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although VCT is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the negative profit outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to VCT, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on VCT for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

If you'd like to know more about Vicat as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Vicat you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in Vicat, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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