Moulinvest Valuation

Is ALMOU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALMOU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALMOU (€13.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€60.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALMOU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALMOU?

Key metric: As ALMOU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALMOU. This is calculated by dividing ALMOU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALMOU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.1x
Earnings€2.01m
Market Cap€40.25m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALMOU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALMOU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.7x
ALCOG Cogra 48 Société Anonyme
35.7xn/a€22.3m
ALRGR Rougier
3.9xn/a€15.7m
ALBKK Baikowski
91.1xn/a€60.9m
ALEXA Exacompta Clairefontaine
8.1xn/a€173.1m
ALMOU Moulinvest
20.1x66.6%€40.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALMOU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the peer average (34.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALMOU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALMOU 20.1xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALMOU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALMOU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALMOU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.1x
Fair PE Ratio23.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALMOU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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