Gascogne Valuation

Is ALBI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALBI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALBI (€2.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALBI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALBI?

Key metric: As ALBI is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ALBI. This is calculated by dividing ALBI's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ALBI's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
Sales€377.37m
Market Cap€72.91m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ALBI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ALBI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6x
TFF TFF Group
1.4x3.2%€687.3m
ALQP Quadpack Industries
0.5xn/a€69.8m
SEFER SergeFerrari Group
0.2x3.7%€70.6m
ALAFY AFYREN SAS
21.7x98.8%€60.5m
ALBI Gascogne
0.2xn/a€72.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ALBI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ALBI's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALBI 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies5PS00.40.81.21.62+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ALBI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALBI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALBI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ALBI's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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