Stock Analysis

Would Baikowski (EPA:ALBKK) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

ENXTPA:ALBKK
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Baikowski SA (EPA:ALBKK) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Baikowski's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Baikowski had €13.4m of debt in June 2024, down from €14.0m, one year before. On the flip side, it has €5.31m in cash leading to net debt of about €8.05m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:ALBKK Debt to Equity History December 3rd 2024

How Healthy Is Baikowski's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Baikowski had liabilities of €16.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of €7.90m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €5.31m as well as receivables valued at €13.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €5.92m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Baikowski has a market capitalization of €52.5m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Baikowski's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Baikowski made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to €39m, which is a fall of 18%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

While Baikowski's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost €1.1m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through €1.3m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Baikowski that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Baikowski might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.