Stock Analysis

Rémy Cointreau (EPA:RCO) sheds €174m, company earnings and investor returns have been trending downwards for past three years

Published
ENXTPA:RCO

Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Rémy Cointreau SA (EPA:RCO) shareholders. Sadly for them, the share price is down 70% in that time. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 43% lower in that time. On top of that, the share price is down 5.7% in the last week.

After losing 5.7% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

View our latest analysis for Rémy Cointreau

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Rémy Cointreau saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 9.4% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 33% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

ENXTPA:RCO Earnings Per Share Growth February 3rd 2025

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Rémy Cointreau's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Rémy Cointreau the TSR over the last 3 years was -68%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Investors in Rémy Cointreau had a tough year, with a total loss of 42% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 6.5%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 7% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Rémy Cointreau you should know about.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on French exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.