Diageo plc

ENXTPA:DGE Stock Report

Market Cap: €90.5b

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This company may still be operating, however this listing is no longer active. Find out why through their latest events.

Diageo Valuation

Is DGE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DGE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DGE (€40) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€53.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DGE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DGE?

Key metric: As DGE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DGE. This is calculated by dividing DGE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DGE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22x
EarningsUK£3.58b
Market CapUK£78.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DGE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DGE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.7x
RI Pernod Ricard
18.5x9.3%€27.3b
RCO Rémy Cointreau
18.7x7.8%€3.1b
LPE Laurent-Perrier
12.4x5.8%€624.1m
BN Danone
41.4x18.3%€41.5b
DGE Diageo
22x5.2%€78.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DGE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the peer average (24.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DGE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DGE 22.0xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DGE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (19.3x)

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DGE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DGE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22x
Fair PE Ratio25.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DGE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DGE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Dec ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Nov ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Oct ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Sep ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Aug ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Jul ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Jun ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
May ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Apr ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Mar ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Feb ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Jan ’25n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Dec ’24n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Nov ’24n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Oct ’24n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Sep ’24n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Aug ’24n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Jul ’24n/a
€45.81
0%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
Jun ’24€40.00
€45.81
+14.5%
12.4%€56.34€30.53n/a23
May ’24€42.00
€45.06
+7.3%
12.3%€55.29€29.96n/a23
Apr ’24€40.80
€45.69
+12.0%
13.0%€58.00€30.14n/a23
Mar ’24€40.60
€45.70
+12.6%
12.9%€57.45€29.85n/a25
Feb ’24€41.00
€46.06
+12.3%
13.2%€57.84€30.05n/a25
Jan ’24€42.00
€48.02
+14.3%
12.2%€56.85€34.04n/a25
Dec ’23€45.20
€49.69
+9.9%
12.7%€62.83€34.71n/a25

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2023/05/26 01:47
End of Day Share Price 2023/05/25 00:00
Earnings2022/12/31
Annual Earnings2022/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Diageo plc is covered by 70 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Anna ZyniewiczAlphaValue
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Barry CoppelBanco Santander