WINFARM Société anonyme

ENXTPA:ALWF Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.2m

WINFARM Société anonyme Valuation

Is ALWF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALWF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALWF (€3.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€51.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALWF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALWF?

Key metric: As ALWF is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ALWF. This is calculated by dividing ALWF's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ALWF's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.05x
Sales€136.05m
Market Cap€7.17m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ALWF's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ALWF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
MLAAH Amatheon Agri Holding
0.9xn/a€7.0m
ALAGR AgroGeneration
0.7xn/a€10.5m
ALODC Omer-Decugis & Cie
0.2x9.0%€36.7m
SABE Saint Jean Groupe Société anonyme
0.5xn/a€63.2m
ALWF WINFARM Société anonyme
0.05x6.6%€7.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ALWF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ALWF's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the FR Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x3.0%
ALWF WINFARM Société anonyme
0.05x6.6%US$7.54m
SAVE Savencia
0.1x2.7%US$699.07m
BON Bonduelle
0.09x1.7%US$217.91m
No more companies available in this PS range
ALWF 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies3PS00.40.81.21.62+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x17.8%
ALWF WINFARM Société anonyme
0.05x115.1%US$7.54m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ALWF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the European Food industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALWF's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALWF PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.05x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ALWF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALWF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.54
€6.35
+79.4%
21.3%€7.70€5.00n/a2
Nov ’25€3.90
€6.35
+62.8%
21.3%€7.70€5.00n/a2
Oct ’25€4.61
€8.50
+84.4%
5.9%€9.00€8.00n/a2
Sep ’25€3.55
€9.65
+171.8%
17.1%€11.30€8.00n/a2
Aug ’25€3.87
€9.65
+149.4%
17.1%€11.30€8.00n/a2
Jul ’25€4.06
€9.65
+137.7%
17.1%€11.30€8.00n/a2
Jun ’25€4.78
€9.65
+101.9%
17.1%€11.30€8.00n/a2
May ’25€4.90
€9.65
+96.9%
17.1%€11.30€8.00n/a2
Apr ’25€6.00
€13.40
+123.3%
21.6%€16.30€10.50n/a2
Mar ’25€5.72
€13.40
+134.3%
21.6%€16.30€10.50n/a2
Feb ’25€6.38
€16.25
+154.7%
35.4%€22.00€10.50n/a2
Jan ’25€6.38
€16.25
+154.7%
35.4%€22.00€10.50n/a2
Dec ’24€4.80
€16.25
+238.5%
35.4%€22.00€10.50n/a2
Sep ’24€14.50
€31.50
+117.2%
17.5%€37.00€26.00€3.552
Aug ’24€15.70
€31.50
+100.6%
17.5%€37.00€26.00€3.872
Jul ’24€15.90
€31.50
+98.1%
17.5%€37.00€26.00€4.062
Jun ’24€20.70
€31.50
+52.2%
17.5%€37.00€26.00€4.782
May ’24€19.10
€30.60
+60.2%
20.9%€37.00€24.20€4.902
Apr ’24€21.00
€30.60
+45.7%
20.9%€37.00€24.20€6.002
Mar ’24€22.90
€30.60
+33.6%
20.9%€37.00€24.20€5.722

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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