Omer-Decugis & Cie SA

ENXTPA:ALODC Stock Report

Market Cap: €37.6m

Omer-Decugis & Cie Valuation

Is ALODC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALODC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALODC (€4.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€35.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALODC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALODC?

Key metric: As ALODC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALODC. This is calculated by dividing ALODC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALODC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.4x
Earnings€5.10m
Market Cap€37.60m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALODC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALODC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.2x
SABE Saint Jean Groupe Société anonyme
16.1xn/a€63.2m
MALT Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme
8.1xn/a€359.6m
ALPOU Poulaillon
6.2x12.4%€28.3m
ALFLE Fleury Michon
6.5xn/a€103.5m
ALODC Omer-Decugis & Cie
7.4x31.8%€37.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALODC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the peer average (9.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALODC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALODC 7.4xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALODC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALODC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALODC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.4x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALODC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALODC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.40
€7.70
+75.0%
8.0%€8.50€7.00n/a3
Nov ’25€4.62
€7.77
+68.1%
7.0%€8.50€7.20n/a3
Oct ’25€4.27
€7.77
+81.9%
7.0%€8.50€7.20n/a3
Sep ’25€5.04
€7.77
+54.1%
7.0%€8.50€7.20n/a3
Aug ’25€4.65
€7.77
+67.0%
7.0%€8.50€7.20n/a3
Jul ’25€4.10
€7.57
+84.6%
9.0%€8.50€6.90n/a3
Jun ’25€4.77
€7.57
+58.6%
9.0%€8.50€6.90n/a3
May ’25€4.14
€7.63
+84.4%
8.6%€8.50€6.90n/a3
Apr ’25€4.28
€7.63
+78.3%
8.6%€8.50€6.90n/a3
Mar ’25€4.24
€7.63
+80.0%
8.6%€8.50€6.90n/a3
Feb ’25€4.71
€7.63
+62.1%
8.6%€8.50€6.90n/a3
Jan ’25€4.13
€7.43
+80.0%
10.7%€8.50€6.60n/a3
Dec ’24€4.12
€7.57
+83.7%
8.8%€8.50€7.00n/a3
Nov ’24€4.14
€7.60
+83.6%
8.5%€8.50€7.00€4.623
Oct ’24€4.57
€7.60
+66.3%
8.5%€8.50€7.00€4.273
Sep ’24€4.98
€7.60
+52.6%
8.5%€8.50€7.00€5.043
Aug ’24€4.74
€7.60
+60.3%
8.5%€8.50€7.00€4.653
Jul ’24€4.69
€8.23
+75.6%
6.6%€9.00€7.80€4.103
Jun ’24€4.70
€8.23
+75.2%
6.6%€9.00€7.80€4.773
May ’24€4.90
€8.23
+68.0%
7.4%€9.00€7.50€4.143
Apr ’24€3.52
€8.23
+133.9%
7.4%€9.00€7.50€4.283
Mar ’24€4.94
€8.53
+72.7%
8.6%€9.10€7.50€4.243
Feb ’24€4.64
€8.53
+83.9%
8.6%€9.10€7.50€4.713
Jan ’24€4.83
€8.70
+80.1%
5.7%€9.10€8.00€4.133
Dec ’23€5.18
€8.70
+68.0%
5.7%€9.10€8.00€4.123
Nov ’23€5.26
€8.70
+65.4%
5.7%€9.10€8.00€4.143

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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