TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme (EPA:EC) shareholders are still up 499% over 5 years despite pulling back 5.2% in the past week
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. To wit, the TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme share price has climbed 73% in five years, easily topping the market return of 49% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 94% in the last year, including dividends.
While the stock has fallen 5.2% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the last half decade, TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme became profitable. That's generally thought to be a genuine positive, so investors may expect to see an increasing share price. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. We can see that the TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme share price is up 12% in the last three years. Meanwhile, EPS is up 11% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 4% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme, it has a TSR of 499% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 94% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 43%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme you should be aware of.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on French exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.