Stock Analysis

If You Like EPS Growth Then Check Out ABC arbitrage (EPA:ABCA) Before It's Too Late

ENXTPA:ABCA
Source: Shutterstock

It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.'

If, on the other hand, you like companies that have revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in ABC arbitrage (EPA:ABCA). Now, I'm not saying that the stock is necessarily undervalued today; but I can't shake an appreciation for the profitability of the business itself. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

View our latest analysis for ABC arbitrage

How Quickly Is ABC arbitrage Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS). That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. ABC arbitrage managed to grow EPS by 14% per year, over three years. That growth rate is fairly good, assuming the company can keep it up.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. Not all of ABC arbitrage's revenue this year is revenue from operations, so keep in mind the revenue and margin numbers I've used might not be the best representation of the underlying business. The good news is that ABC arbitrage is growing revenues, and EBIT margins improved by 6.5 percentage points to 55%, over the last year. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in my book.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTPA:ABCA Earnings and Revenue History February 11th 2021

While it's always good to see growing profits, you should always remember that a weak balance sheet could come back to bite. So check ABC arbitrage's balance sheet strength, before getting too excited.

Are ABC arbitrage Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It makes me feel more secure owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, thusly more closely aligning our interests. So it is good to see that ABC arbitrage insiders have a significant amount of capital invested in the stock. Given insiders own a small fortune of shares, currently valued at €42m, they have plenty of motivation to push the business to succeed. That holding amounts to 9.8% of the stock on issue, thus making insiders influential, and aligned, owners of the business.

Is ABC arbitrage Worth Keeping An Eye On?

As I already mentioned, ABC arbitrage is a growing business, which is what I like to see. If that's not enough on its own, there is also the rather notable levels of insider ownership. The combination sparks joy for me, so I'd consider keeping the company on a watchlist. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for ABC arbitrage (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

You can invest in any company you want. But if you prefer to focus on stocks that have demonstrated insider buying, here is a list of companies with insider buying in the last three months.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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