Stock Analysis

ABC arbitrage (EPA:ABCA) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of €0.10

ENXTPA:ABCA
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ABC arbitrage SA (EPA:ABCA) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.10 per share on the 20th of April. The dividend yield will be 7.2% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for ABC arbitrage

ABC arbitrage's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, ABC arbitrage's dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 9.1% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 75%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.

historic-dividend
ENXTPA:ABCA Historic Dividend April 7th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of €0.55 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of €0.44. The dividend has shrunk at around 2.2% a year during that period. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

We Could See ABC arbitrage's Dividend Growing

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. ABC arbitrage has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 9.1% per annum. The payout ratio is very much on the higher end, which could mean that the growth rate will slow down in the future, and that could flow through to the dividend as well.

Our Thoughts On ABC arbitrage's Dividend

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about ABC arbitrage's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for ABC arbitrage that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.