Stock Analysis

ABC arbitrage (EPA:ABCA) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of €0.10

ENXTPA:ABCA
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The board of ABC arbitrage SA (EPA:ABCA) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.10 per share on the 13th of October. This means the annual payment is 6.0% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for ABC arbitrage

ABC arbitrage's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Based on the last dividend, ABC arbitrage is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 108% of cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 2.5% if the company continues along the path it has been on recently. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 77%, which is definitely on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

historic-dividend
ENXTPA:ABCA Historic Dividend September 23rd 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the annual payment back then was €0.55, compared to the most recent full-year payment of €0.40. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 3.1% per year. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings per share has been crawling upwards at 2.5% per year. ABC arbitrage is struggling to find viable investments, so it is returning more to shareholders. This isn't bad in itself, but unless earnings growth pick up we wouldn't expect dividends to grow either.

Our Thoughts On ABC arbitrage's Dividend

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While ABC arbitrage is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for ABC arbitrage that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ENXTPA:ABCA

ABC arbitrage

Engages in the development of arbitrage strategies for liquid assets worldwide.

Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.

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