Stock Analysis

ABC arbitrage (EPA:ABCA) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of €0.10

ENXTPA:ABCA
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ABC arbitrage SA (EPA:ABCA) will pay a dividend of €0.10 on the 8th of December. This makes the dividend yield 6.1%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the FR Diversified Financial industry.

ABC arbitrage's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. At the time of the last dividend payment, ABC arbitrage was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 251% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.

EPS is set to grow by 2.6% over the next year if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 84%, which is definitely on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

historic-dividend
ENXTPA:ABCA Historic Dividend November 17th 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from €0.55 total annually to €0.40. This works out to be a decline of approximately 3.1% per year over that time. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings have grown at around 2.6% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. Slow growth and a high payout ratio could mean that ABC arbitrage has maxed out the amount that it has been able to pay to shareholders. When the rate of return on reinvestment opportunities falls below a certain minimum level, companies often elect to pay a larger dividend instead. This is why many mature companies often have larger dividend yields.

ABC arbitrage's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We don't think ABC arbitrage is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for ABC arbitrage that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is ABC arbitrage not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.