ABC arbitrage SA (EPA:ABCA) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.10 per share on the 8th of December. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 6.1%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
Our analysis indicates that ABCA is potentially undervalued!
ABC arbitrage's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, ABC arbitrage was paying out quite a large proportion of both earnings and cash flow, with the dividend being 251% of cash flows. This is certainly a risk factor, as reduced cash flows could force the company to pay a lower dividend.
Earnings per share could rise by 2.6% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 84%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the annual payment back then was €0.55, compared to the most recent full-year payment of €0.40. The dividend has shrunk at around 3.1% a year during that period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
ABC arbitrage May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Earnings has been rising at 2.6% per annum over the last five years, which admittedly is a bit slow. Slow growth and a high payout ratio could mean that ABC arbitrage has maxed out the amount that it has been able to pay to shareholders. When a company prefers to pay out cash to its shareholders instead of reinvesting it, this can often say a lot about that company's dividend prospects.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for ABC arbitrage that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:ABCA
ABC arbitrage
Engages in the development of arbitrage strategies for liquid assets worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.