Elior Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Elior Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.2% and 2.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 19.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.7% in 3 years.
Key information
17.2%
Earnings growth rate
19.76%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 14.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 2.8% |
| Future return on equity | 10.65% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 29 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • May 23
Elior Group SA (EPA:ELIOR) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A €2.86 Price Target
Shareholders in Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) had a terrible week, as shares crashed 34% to €1.98 in the week since its...Analysis Article • Nov 22
Results: Elior Group SA Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Last week, you might have seen that Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) released its yearly result to the market. The early...Analysis Article • May 25
Elior Group SA (EPA:ELIOR) Just Released Its Half-Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Investors in Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.1% to close at €2.79 following the...Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 19
ELIOR: Recent Profit Warning Reset Will Support Gradual Share Price Recovery
Analysts cut their average price target on Elior Group to around €2.40 to €2.90 from prior levels of roughly €3.20 to €3.70, citing the recent profit warning, estimate reductions, and expectations for a slower recovery after the first-half reset. Analyst Commentary on Elior Group Recent research on Elior Group highlights a more cautious stance after the profit warning, with analysts adjusting ratings and price targets to reflect updated expectations for the company’s recovery and execution risks.
New Narrative • Jun 04
Long Contract Ramps And Margin Pressure Will Keep Earnings Contained Despite Service Demand
Catalysts About Elior Group Elior Group operates in contract catering and multiservices across business, education, health and welfare, and various industrial and urban end markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Jun 03
ELIOR: Share Repurchase Program Will Support Recovery After Recent Profit Warnings
Analysts have reduced Elior Group's fair value estimate from €3.11 to €2.46, citing recent profit warnings, lower earnings estimates, and expectations for a slower recovery, which have pushed Street price targets toward the €2.40 to €2.90 range. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around lower price targets and more cautious ratings, reflecting how profit warnings and reduced earnings estimates are feeding into valuation models and expectations for execution.Analysis Article • May 30
Concerns Surrounding Elior Group's (EPA:ELIOR) Performance
The market shrugged off Elior Group SA's ( EPA:ELIOR ) solid earnings report. We think that investors might be worried...Analysis Article • May 23
Elior Group SA (EPA:ELIOR) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A €2.86 Price Target
Shareholders in Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) had a terrible week, as shares crashed 34% to €1.98 in the week since its...
New Narrative • May 21
Healthy Food And Multiservices Demand Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Elior Group Elior Group provides contract catering and multiservices across business, education, health and welfare markets in 11 countries. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Apr 27
ELIOR: Share Repurchase Program Will Support Undervalued Profile And Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their €3.11 price target for Elior Group unchanged, citing stable assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that support a consistent view of the stock's fair value. What's in the News Elior Group plans to start share repurchases on February 9, 2026, under an existing shareholder mandate that allows buybacks for 18 months until August 4, 2027 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 12
ELIOR: Share Repurchase Program Will Support Undervalued Profile And Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their price target for Elior Group steady at €3.11, citing unchanged assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E. Taken together, these factors point to a similar view of the stock's fair value as before.Narrative Update • Mar 27
ELIOR: Share Repurchase Program Will Support Undervalued Profile And Future Upside Potential
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Elior Group, with fair value moving from €3.12 to about €3.11. The change reflects fine tuning to revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions rather than a fundamental shift in the story.Narrative Update • Mar 13
ELIOR: Share Buyback Program Will Support Undervalued Profile And Future Upside Potential
Analysts have maintained their price target for Elior Group at €3.12, based on unchanged assumptions regarding fair value, discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News Elior Group SA plans to commence share repurchases on February 9, 2026, under a program authorized by shareholders at the Combined Shareholder’s Meeting on February 4, 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 26
ELIOR: Share Repurchases Will Support Undervalued Profile And Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their price target for Elior Group steady at €3.12, reflecting largely unchanged assumptions around the discount rate, expected revenue growth of about 3.05%, a profit margin near 1.48% and a future P/E of roughly 11.3x. What's in the News Elior Group plans to start a share repurchase program on December 2, 2025, allowing buybacks of up to 10% of its issued share capital for up to €253.61 million, with a maximum purchase price of €10 per share (company announcement).Narrative Update • Feb 11
ELIOR: Trimmed Expectations And Buyback Flexibility Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price target on Elior Group from €4.00 to €3.60, reflecting updated views on the shares while keeping core valuation inputs such as fair value at €3.12, discount rate at 12.3%, revenue growth at 3.05%, profit margin at 1.48%, and future P/E near 11.3x broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are still constructive on Elior Group, even with a lower price target, and are focusing on how current valuation and fundamentals line up with the updated fair value view.Analysis Article • Feb 10
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Elior Group SA (EPA:ELIOR)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Elior Group fair value estimate is €3.21 Current share price...Narrative Update • Jan 26
ELIOR: Margin Execution And Buyback Plans Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Elior Group to €3.12 from €3.06, reflecting recent price target updates such as a move from €4.00 to €3.60, while keeping core assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E broadly in line with prior views. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Elior Group points to a more cautious stance on upside potential, while still seeing room for the shares to perform if the company can deliver on execution and earnings quality.Narrative Update • Jan 10
ELIOR: Margin Progress And Buyback Plan Will Support Balanced Future Prospects
Analysts have lowered their price target on Elior Group to €3.60 from €4.00, reflecting updated views on the stock's valuation while maintaining a generally positive stance on the company. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a more cautious stance on Elior Group's share valuation, with the target adjusted to €3.60 from €4.00 while a positive rating is maintained.Narrative Update • Dec 14
ELIOR: Margin Recovery And Buyback Program Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Elior Group from EUR 4.00 to about EUR 3.60. This reflects a modest reassessment of fair value despite slightly stronger expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, alongside a marginally higher perceived risk profile.Analysis Article • Nov 28
Additional Considerations Required While Assessing Elior Group's (EPA:ELIOR) Strong Earnings
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Elior Group SA's ( EPA:ELIOR ) stock hasn't moved much. We did...Analysis Article • Nov 22
Results: Elior Group SA Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Last week, you might have seen that Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) released its yearly result to the market. The early...Analysis Article • Sep 13
Little Excitement Around Elior Group SA's (EPA:ELIOR) Revenues
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) may be sending bullish signals at the...New Narrative • Aug 29
US Healthcare And Digitalization Will Unlock New Market Potential
Key Takeaways Expansion into healthcare and senior living, plus decentralized regional strategies, positions Elior for stable, recurring revenues from demographic shifts and market pipeline growth. Operational efficiencies, digital investments, and cash flow strength support higher margins, premium service offerings, and readiness for acquisition-led growth amid industry consolidation.Analysis Article • Jun 19
Elior Group (EPA:ELIOR) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • May 29
Elior Group's (EPA:ELIOR) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest
Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. Investors are...Analysis Article • May 25
Elior Group SA (EPA:ELIOR) Just Released Its Half-Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Investors in Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.1% to close at €2.79 following the...Analysis Article • Apr 15
Elior Group SA's (EPA:ELIOR) Low P/S No Reason For Excitement
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Analysis Article • Nov 29
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Elior Group SA's (EPA:ELIOR) 41% Share Price Plunge
Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 41% after a relatively good period beforehand...Analysis Article • Sep 11
Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Elior Group SA (EPA:ELIOR)
Elior Group SA's ( EPA:ELIOR ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x may look like a pretty appealing investment...Analysis Article • Jun 17
Is Elior Group (EPA:ELIOR) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • May 21
Elior Group SA (EPA:ELIOR) Shares Fly 63% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
The Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 63...Analysis Article • Feb 29
Elior Group (EPA:ELIOR) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Dec 22
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Elior Group SA's (EPA:ELIOR) 30% Share Price Climb
Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone...Analysis Article • Aug 20
Slammed 25% Elior Group SA (EPA:ELIOR) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch
Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25...Analysis Article • Jan 05
Health Check: How Prudently Does Elior Group (EPA:ELIOR) Use Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Nov 26
Elior Group SA (EPA:ELIOR) Yearly Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
It's been a good week for Elior Group SA ( EPA:ELIOR ) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest...Analysis Article • Jul 28
Does Elior Group (EPA:ELIOR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 6,572 | 75 | 161 | 273 | 8 |
| 9/30/2027 | 6,372 | 58 | 142 | 250 | 9 |
| 9/30/2026 | 6,185 | 29 | 20 | 185 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 6,116 | 66 | -1 | 168 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 6,133 | 77 | 99 | 258 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 6,150 | 88 | 199 | 348 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 6,147 | 42 | 214 | 349 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 6,143 | -4 | 228 | 350 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 6,098 | -25 | 211 | 324 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 6,053 | -46 | 194 | 298 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 5,868 | -69 | 114 | 208 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 5,546 | -81 | 27 | 115 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 5,223 | -93 | -61 | 22 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,690 | -184 | -36 | 32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,571 | -305 | -70 | -2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 4,451 | -427 | -104 | -36 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 4,060 | -330 | -124 | -52 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,875 | -222 | -76 | -6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,690 | -114 | -29 | 40 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,534 | -306 | -73 | -1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 3,377 | -499 | -116 | -41 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,672 | -472 | -109 | -23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,967 | -446 | -103 | -5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,378 | -203 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 4,788 | 39 | 1,482 | 1,595 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 4,856 | 54 | N/A | 1,553 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 4,923 | 69 | N/A | 1,511 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,920 | 10 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 4,916 | -50 | N/A | 213 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,901 | -39 | N/A | 211 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,886 | -29 | N/A | 209 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 5,329 | 40 | N/A | 260 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 5,773 | 110 | N/A | 311 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 6,097 | 112 | N/A | 338 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 6,422 | 115 | N/A | 365 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 6,305 | 136 | N/A | 355 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 6,189 | 157 | N/A | 345 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 6,019 | 143 | N/A | 349 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,896 | 142 | N/A | 275 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,802 | 133 | N/A | 289 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,772 | 111 | N/A | 280 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,738 | 116 | N/A | 285 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,674 | 107 | N/A | 294 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ELIOR's forecast earnings growth (17.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.5%).
Earnings vs Market: ELIOR's earnings (17.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the French market (12.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ELIOR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: ELIOR's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the French market (5.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ELIOR's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ELIOR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.7%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/06 10:24 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/03 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Elior Group SA is covered by 21 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Pravin Gondhale | Barclays |
| Stuart Gordon | Berenberg |
| Sabrina Blanc | Bernstein |