Accor Valuation

Is AC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AC (€43.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€40.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.6x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.6x
ALVDM Voyageurs du Monde
14.8x3.0%€568.8m
MLHMC Hotel Majestic Cannes
13.4xn/a€327.7m
SW Sodexo
20.7x13.5%€11.6b
ALLHB Les Hôtels Baverez
17.6xn/a€149.5m
AC Accor
18.5x7.6%€10.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.5x
Fair PE Ratio17.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€43.30
€45.21
+4.4%
11.3%€55.00€33.00n/a17
Mar ’25€39.74
€43.64
+9.8%
13.0%€55.00€30.00n/a19
Feb ’25€36.25
€38.71
+6.8%
18.2%€46.00€13.00n/a20
Jan ’25€34.60
€37.83
+9.3%
18.6%€46.00€13.00n/a20
Dec ’24€32.46
€37.88
+16.7%
18.6%€46.00€13.00n/a20
Nov ’24€30.19
€38.38
+27.1%
18.2%€46.00€13.00n/a20
Oct ’24€31.94
€38.00
+19.0%
18.7%€46.00€13.00n/a20
Sep ’24€33.54
€37.47
+11.7%
19.2%€46.00€13.00n/a19
Aug ’24€33.90
€36.79
+8.5%
19.0%€42.50€13.00n/a18
Jul ’24€34.02
€37.73
+10.9%
10.4%€42.00€25.00n/a17
Jun ’24€31.20
€35.62
+14.2%
13.6%€41.50€23.00n/a18
May ’24€32.12
€35.39
+10.2%
13.9%€41.50€23.00n/a17
Apr ’24€29.97
€33.77
+12.7%
14.4%€40.00€23.00n/a17
Mar ’24€30.57
€33.20
+8.6%
14.4%€40.00€23.00€39.7418
Feb ’24€29.92
€30.51
+2.0%
18.8%€38.00€20.00€36.2518
Jan ’24€23.35
€29.07
+24.5%
21.0%€44.00€20.00€34.6018
Dec ’23€25.18
€29.57
+17.4%
20.0%€44.00€20.00€32.4618
Nov ’23€24.19
€29.41
+21.6%
19.9%€44.00€20.00€30.1918
Oct ’23€21.61
€30.84
+42.7%
16.7%€44.00€21.00€31.9418
Sep ’23€23.39
€32.69
+39.8%
14.0%€44.00€23.00€33.5419
Aug ’23€25.64
€33.45
+30.4%
12.2%€44.00€26.50€33.9019
Jul ’23€25.93
€34.18
+31.8%
12.1%€44.00€26.50€34.0219
Jun ’23€29.96
€34.34
+14.6%
13.2%€44.00€26.50€31.2019
May ’23€31.53
€34.29
+8.8%
13.1%€44.00€26.50€32.1219
Apr ’23€28.99
€34.21
+18.0%
13.0%€44.00€26.50€29.9719
Mar ’23€28.51
€34.08
+19.5%
14.6%€44.00€24.10€30.5720

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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