Freelance.com Valuation

Is ALFRE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALFRE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALFRE (€2.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALFRE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALFRE?

Key metric: As ALFRE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALFRE. This is calculated by dividing ALFRE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALFRE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
Earnings€15.48m
Market Cap€158.22m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALFRE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALFRE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.3x
CEN Groupe CRIT
9.7x12.7%€659.6m
SDG Synergie
10.1x7.1%€665.4m
ALDLS DLSI
33.3xn/a€32.5m
AAA Alan Allman Associates
84.2x55.8%€217.8m
ALFRE Freelance.com
10x15.3%€158.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALFRE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (34.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALFRE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Professional Services Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALFRE 10.0xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies14PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALFRE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the European Professional Services industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALFRE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALFRE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio12.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALFRE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALFRE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.74
€4.70
+71.5%
13.8%€5.30€3.80n/a3
Nov ’25€2.88
€4.87
+69.0%
15.6%€5.50€3.80n/a3
Oct ’25€2.66
€5.23
+96.7%
19.5%€6.10€3.80n/a3
Sep ’25€3.03
€5.23
+72.7%
19.5%€6.10€3.80n/a3
Aug ’25€2.70
€5.30
+96.3%
20.0%€6.10€3.80n/a3
Jul ’25€2.80
€5.30
+89.3%
20.0%€6.10€3.80n/a3
Jun ’25€3.44
€5.30
+54.1%
20.0%€6.10€3.80n/a3
May ’25€3.25
€5.30
+63.1%
20.0%€6.10€3.80n/a3
Apr ’25€3.73
€5.30
+42.1%
20.0%€6.10€3.80n/a3
Mar ’25€3.29
€5.30
+61.1%
20.0%€6.10€3.80n/a3
Feb ’25€3.66
€5.37
+46.6%
24.8%€6.50€3.50n/a3
Jan ’25€3.87
€5.33
+37.8%
24.3%€6.30€3.50n/a3
Dec ’24€2.99
€5.33
+78.4%
24.3%€6.30€3.50n/a3
Nov ’24€3.30
€6.03
+82.8%
25.9%€7.80€4.00€2.883
Oct ’24€4.21
€6.57
+56.0%
18.6%€7.80€4.90€2.663
Sep ’24€4.24
€6.93
+63.5%
20.8%€8.10€4.90€3.033
Aug ’24€5.30
€7.37
+39.0%
13.1%€8.10€6.00€2.703
Jul ’24€5.66
€7.37
+30.2%
13.1%€8.10€6.00€2.803
Jun ’24€6.08
€7.37
+21.2%
13.1%€8.10€6.00€3.443
May ’24€5.68
€7.57
+33.2%
14.9%€8.60€6.00€3.253
Apr ’24€5.40
€8.13
+50.6%
8.1%€8.60€7.20€3.733
Mar ’24€6.15
€8.13
+32.2%
8.1%€8.60€7.20€3.293
Feb ’24€7.09
€8.43
+18.9%
3.7%€8.70€8.00€3.663
Jan ’24€6.68
€8.43
+26.2%
3.7%€8.70€8.00€3.873
Dec ’23€6.84
€8.43
+23.3%
3.7%€8.70€8.00€2.993
Nov ’23€6.56
€8.97
+36.7%
2.3%€9.20€8.70€3.303

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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