EXEL Industries Valuation

Is EXE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXE (€45.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€89.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXE?

Key metric: As EXE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EXE. This is calculated by dividing EXE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EXE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.2x
Earnings€43.03m
Market Cap€310.05m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.6x
ALGEV Gévelot
13x-6.4%€142.9m
PERR Gérard Perrier Industrie
17x5.0%€334.1m
ALPM Precia
16.4x16.6%€156.2m
MTU Manitou BF
3.9x-15.6%€656.6m
EXE EXEL Industries
7.2x3.8%€310.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EXE 7.2xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies29PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.2x
Fair PE Ratio9.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EXE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€45.70
€63.70
+39.4%
5.0%€68.00€59.00n/a5
Nov ’25€47.70
€63.70
+33.5%
5.0%€68.00€59.00n/a5
Oct ’25€51.00
€66.16
+29.7%
6.4%€71.00€59.00n/a5
Sep ’25€47.60
€66.16
+39.0%
6.4%€71.00€59.00n/a5
Aug ’25€51.00
€66.16
+29.7%
6.4%€71.00€59.00n/a5
Jul ’25€52.80
€69.08
+30.8%
10.2%€79.40€59.00n/a5
Jun ’25€57.00
€69.08
+21.2%
10.2%€79.40€59.00n/a5
May ’25€54.80
€69.08
+26.1%
10.2%€79.40€59.00n/a5
Apr ’25€55.80
€69.08
+23.8%
10.2%€79.40€59.00n/a5
Mar ’25€56.80
€69.08
+21.6%
10.2%€79.40€59.00n/a5
Feb ’25€59.00
€69.08
+17.1%
10.2%€79.40€59.00n/a5
Jan ’25€54.00
€66.30
+22.8%
7.0%€72.00€59.00n/a5
Dec ’24€47.00
€66.30
+41.1%
7.0%€72.00€59.00n/a5
Nov ’24€44.30
€66.02
+49.0%
6.7%€72.00€59.00€47.705
Oct ’24€46.30
€68.02
+46.9%
9.5%€80.00€59.00€51.006
Sep ’24€49.20
€68.02
+38.2%
9.5%€80.00€59.00€47.606
Aug ’24€51.60
€68.02
+31.8%
9.5%€80.00€59.00€51.006
Jul ’24€49.70
€67.87
+36.6%
11.0%€80.00€56.00€52.806
Jun ’24€51.00
€68.28
+33.9%
10.8%€80.00€56.00€57.006
May ’24€50.80
€68.28
+34.4%
10.8%€80.00€56.00€54.806
Apr ’24€49.90
€67.64
+35.6%
13.8%€80.00€52.00€55.805
Mar ’24€51.40
€67.10
+30.5%
13.6%€80.00€52.00€56.805
Feb ’24€60.60
€67.10
+10.7%
13.6%€80.00€52.00€59.005
Jan ’24€54.40
€56.90
+4.6%
19.4%€70.00€42.00€54.005
Dec ’23€45.80
€55.70
+21.6%
21.2%€70.00€42.00€47.005
Nov ’23€38.70
€55.98
+44.7%
21.7%€70.90€42.00€44.305

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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