Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Faurecia S.E. (EPA:EO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Faurecia
What Is Faurecia's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2022 Faurecia had debt of €10.9b, up from €7.35b in one year. On the flip side, it has €4.21b in cash leading to net debt of about €6.67b.
A Look At Faurecia's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Faurecia had liabilities of €14.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €11.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €4.21b in cash and €6.31b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €15.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the €3.91b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Faurecia would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Faurecia has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.7 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, one redeeming factor is that Faurecia grew its EBIT at 16% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Faurecia can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Faurecia's free cash flow amounted to 28% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Mulling over Faurecia's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Faurecia's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Faurecia (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:FRVIA
Forvia
Manufactures and sells automotive technology solutions in France, Germany, other European countries, the Americas, Asia, and internationally.
Established dividend payer and good value.