Nurminen Logistics Oyj Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

The analyst might have been a bit too bullish on Nurminen Logistics Oyj (HEL:NLG1V), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its third-quarter results last week. Nurminen Logistics Oyj delivered a grave earnings miss, with both revenues (€24m) and statutory earnings per share (€0.01) falling badly short of analyst expectations. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what expert is forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimate suggests is in store for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Nurminen Logistics Oyj's sole analyst is for revenues of €119.0m in 2026. This reflects a solid 11% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 93% to €0.11. Before this earnings report, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of €129.4m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.13 in 2026. The analyst seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a real cut to earnings per share numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Nurminen Logistics Oyj

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analyst has cut their price target 8.3% to €1.10.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Nurminen Logistics Oyj's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Nurminen Logistics Oyj's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 8.8% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 1.5% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 4.7% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analyst also expect Nurminen Logistics Oyj to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analyst reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Nurminen Logistics Oyj. They also downgraded Nurminen Logistics Oyj's revenue estimates, but industry data suggests that it is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analyst seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Nurminen Logistics Oyj's future valuation.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Nurminen Logistics Oyj , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.