Stock Analysis

Earnings Miss: Incap Oyj Missed EPS By 8.1% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

HLSE:ICP1V
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Investors in Incap Oyj (HEL:ICP1V) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.8% to close at €10.76 following the release of its quarterly results. Revenues of €62m were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at €0.17, missing estimates by 8.1%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for Incap Oyj

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HLSE:ICP1V Earnings and Revenue Growth October 29th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Incap Oyj from twin analysts is for revenues of €269.6m in 2025. If met, it would imply a major 26% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 52% to €0.84. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €278.6m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.86 in 2025. So it looks like the analysts have become a bit less optimistic after the latest results announcement, with revenues expected to fall even as the company is supposed to maintain EPS.

The average price target was steady at €13.00even though revenue estimates declined; likely suggesting the analysts place a higher value on earnings.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 21% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 23% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 7.3% per year. So although Incap Oyj is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. Even so, earnings are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Incap Oyj going out as far as 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We also provide an overview of the Incap Oyj Board and CEO remuneration and length of tenure at the company, and whether insiders have been buying the stock, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.