Stock Analysis

Capital Allocation Trends At Incap Oyj (HEL:ICP1V) Aren't Ideal

Published
HLSE:ICP1V

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Incap Oyj (HEL:ICP1V), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Incap Oyj, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.15 = €23m ÷ (€188m - €42m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

So, Incap Oyj has an ROCE of 15%. That's a pretty standard return and it's in line with the industry average of 15%.

See our latest analysis for Incap Oyj

HLSE:ICP1V Return on Capital Employed June 12th 2024

In the above chart we have measured Incap Oyj's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Incap Oyj .

How Are Returns Trending?

In terms of Incap Oyj's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 42%, but since then they've fallen to 15%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.

On a side note, Incap Oyj has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 22% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

The Key Takeaway

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Incap Oyj's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Since the stock has skyrocketed 442% over the last five years, it looks like investors have high expectations of the stock. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing Incap Oyj, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.