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Does Aspocomp Group Oyj (HEL:ACG1V) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Aspocomp Group Oyj (HEL:ACG1V) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Aspocomp Group Oyj
How Much Debt Does Aspocomp Group Oyj Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Aspocomp Group Oyj had debt of €4.36m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from €4.57m over a year. However, it also had €3.48m in cash, and so its net debt is €876.0k.
How Healthy Is Aspocomp Group Oyj's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Aspocomp Group Oyj had liabilities of €4.92m due within 12 months and liabilities of €5.11m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €3.48m and €5.73m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €819.0k more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Aspocomp Group Oyj has a market capitalization of €27.5m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Aspocomp Group Oyj has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.52 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 2.3 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Importantly, Aspocomp Group Oyj's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 87% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Aspocomp Group Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Aspocomp Group Oyj created free cash flow amounting to 9.5% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
Aspocomp Group Oyj's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. In particular, its net debt to EBITDA was re-invigorating. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Aspocomp Group Oyj is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Aspocomp Group Oyj you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About HLSE:ACG1V
Aspocomp Group Oyj
Manufactures and sells printed circuit boards (PCBs) in Finland, Europe, and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.