SSH Communications Security Oyj (HEL:SSH1V), a software company based in Finland, saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the HLSE, rising to the highs of €2.22 and falling to the lows of €2. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether SSH Communications Security Oyj’s current trading price of €2.01 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at SSH Communications Security Oyj’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Is SSH Communications Security Oyj still cheap?According to my valuation model, SSH Communications Security Oyj seems to be fairly priced at around 7.04% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy SSH Communications Security Oyj today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €1.88, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because SSH Communications Security Oyj’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
Can we expect growth from SSH Communications Security Oyj?Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -13.44% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for SSH Communications Security Oyj. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Currently, SSH1V appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SSH1V for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on SSH1V should the price fluctuate below its true value.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on SSH Communications Security Oyj. You can find everything you need to know about SSH Communications Security Oyj in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in SSH Communications Security Oyj, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org.