Stock Analysis

Solteq Oyj Just Missed Earnings With A Surprise Loss - Here Are Analysts Latest Forecasts

HLSE:SOLTEQ
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It's been a good week for Solteq Oyj (HEL:SOLTEQ) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 6.1% to €0.66. Revenues fell 8.2% short of expectations, at €11m. Earnings correspondingly dipped, with Solteq Oyj reporting a statutory loss of €0.03 per share, whereas the analysts had previously modelled a profit in this period. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Solteq Oyj

earnings-and-revenue-growth
HLSE:SOLTEQ Earnings and Revenue Growth October 27th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, Solteq Oyj's two analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be €53.0m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Solteq Oyj is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of €0.035 per share. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €57.0m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.04 in 2025. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a real cut to earnings per share estimates.

The consensus price target fell 18% to €0.68, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. From these estimates it looks as though the analysts expect the years of declining revenue to come to an end, given the flat forecast out to 2025. That would be a definite improvement, given that the past five years have seen revenue shrink 0.9% annually. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 14% annually. Although Solteq Oyj's revenues are expected to improve, it seems that it is still expected to grow slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Solteq Oyj. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

Before you take the next step you should know about the 3 warning signs for Solteq Oyj (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.