Stock Analysis

Rebl Group Oyj (HEL:REBL) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

HLSE:REBL
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Rebl Group Oyj (HEL:REBL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Rebl Group Oyj

How Much Debt Does Rebl Group Oyj Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Rebl Group Oyj had debt of €25.2m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from €29.2m over a year. However, it does have €13.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €12.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:REBL Debt to Equity History October 10th 2024

A Look At Rebl Group Oyj's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Rebl Group Oyj had liabilities of €35.3m due within a year, and liabilities of €29.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €13.2m in cash and €16.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €34.7m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €19.4m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Rebl Group Oyj would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Rebl Group Oyj's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Rebl Group Oyj wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 2.2%, to €135m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Rebl Group Oyj produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost €775k at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of €3.8m. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Rebl Group Oyj (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.