Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Outokumpu Oyj
What Is Outokumpu Oyj's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Outokumpu Oyj had €522.0m of debt in December 2021, down from €1.21b, one year before. On the flip side, it has €328.0m in cash leading to net debt of about €194.0m.
A Look At Outokumpu Oyj's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Outokumpu Oyj had liabilities of €2.37b due within a year, and liabilities of €994.0m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €328.0m and €761.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €2.27b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of €2.20b, we think shareholders really should watch Outokumpu Oyj's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Outokumpu Oyj's net debt is only 0.21 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.0 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Outokumpu Oyj turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of €696m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Outokumpu Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent year, Outokumpu Oyj recorded free cash flow worth 63% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Both Outokumpu Oyj's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its net debt to EBITDA gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Outokumpu Oyj's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Outokumpu Oyj (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About HLSE:OUT1V
Outokumpu Oyj
Produces and sells various stainless steel products in Finland, other European countries, North America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.