Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Afarak Group SE (HEL:AFAGR) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Afarak Group
What Is Afarak Group's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Afarak Group had debt of €2.77m, up from €1.78m in one year. But it also has €18.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €15.3m net cash.
How Strong Is Afarak Group's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Afarak Group had liabilities of €24.0m due within a year, and liabilities of €32.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €18.0m in cash and €20.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €17.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Afarak Group has a market capitalization of €76.0m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Afarak Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Afarak Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 72% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Afarak Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Afarak Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Afarak Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 67% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
While Afarak Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €15.3m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €6.4m, being 67% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Afarak Group's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Afarak Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About HLSE:AFAGR
Afarak Group
Afarak Group SE extracts, process, markets, and trades specialised metals in Finland, other EU countries, the United States, China, Africa, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.