Stock Analysis

Evli (HLSE:EVLI) Profit Margin Falls as One-Off Gain Challenges Earnings Quality Narratives

Evli (HLSE:EVLI) reported a net profit margin of 25.9%, down from last year’s 36.8%. This reflects a movement in profitability in the latest twelve months to 30 September 2025. Average earnings growth over the past five years landed at 7.5% per year. However, the most recent numbers were boosted by a one-off €13.8 million gain that is not considered typical operating income. The company’s Price-to-Earnings Ratio of 19.1x sits above the European industry average but below its immediate peer group. The figures leave investors weighing multi-year growth against softer near-term profitability and risk signals, especially with questions around the sustainability of dividends and earnings consistency lingering in the background.

See our full analysis for Evli Oyj.

Next, we will weigh these results against the narratives the market follows for Evli to see what stands up and where the numbers start to tell a different story.

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HLSE:EVLI Earnings & Revenue History as at Oct 2025
HLSE:EVLI Earnings & Revenue History as at Oct 2025
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One-Off Gain Drives Up Reported Profits

  • The most recent twelve months include a €13.8 million one-off gain. This figure is explicitly identified as non-recurring and not part of normal operations, which distorts the underlying profitability picture.
  • Market sentiment acknowledges Evli's steady operating performance but raises caution, as the quality of these higher earnings relies heavily on this unusual gain.
    • Bulls point to the boost in reported net profit margin, but routine profits may have been noticeably lower without this exceptional item included.
    • Supporters emphasize Evli’s established Nordic brand and recurring business base. However, the sustainability of recent margin strength is less clear when non-core income is removed from consideration.

Sustained Five-Year Earnings Growth

  • Over the past five years, Evli achieved an average annual earnings growth rate of 7.5%, reflecting consistent longer-term expansion despite recent fluctuations in profit margin.
  • Cautious optimism in the market focuses on this stable multi-year track record, even as risks around sector competition and digital disruption remain part of the discussion.
    • Supporters highlight how this reliable growth history positions Evli as a “defensive” play during industry volatility, providing a steady income stream in turbulent periods.
    • Skeptics, however, point out that growth could be at risk if increasing competition from digital asset managers leads to fee compression, which could potentially slow future expansion.

Trading Above Industry Average, Below Peers

  • Evli’s Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) of 19.1x places the company above the broader European Capital Markets industry average of 16.2x. However, it remains lower than its immediate peer group, which averages 24.6x.
  • The prevailing view is that Evli’s current share price of 22.2 euros signals a modest premium relative to the sector, justified by recurring revenues but warranting close attention to innovation and asset growth to maintain this valuation.
    • While recurring income streams shore up today’s valuation, Evli’s ability to introduce new products and capture fresh assets is seen as essential for justifying the existing multiple.
    • Any letdown in asset growth or innovation relative to peers trading at higher multiples could ultimately weigh down sentiment and the share price.

Next Steps

Don't just look at this quarter; the real story is in the long-term trend. We've done an in-depth analysis on Evli Oyj's growth and its valuation to see if today's price is a bargain. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio now so you don't miss the next big move.

See What Else Is Out There

Evli’s reported profits rely on a one-off gain, and recurring margin strength is questionable, raising concerns about the sustainability of recent results.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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