Stock Analysis

CapMan Oyj (HEL:CAPMAN) sheds 10% this week, as yearly returns fall more in line with earnings growth

HLSE:CAPMAN
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It hasn't been the best quarter for CapMan Oyj (HEL:CAPMAN) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 20% in that time. On the bright side the returns have been quite good over the last half decade. Its return of 31% has certainly bested the market return!

While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

Check out our latest analysis for CapMan Oyj

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, CapMan Oyj achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 18% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 6% over the same period. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
HLSE:CAPMAN Earnings Per Share Growth October 27th 2023

It is of course excellent to see how CapMan Oyj has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling CapMan Oyj stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for CapMan Oyj the TSR over the last 5 years was 76%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that CapMan Oyj shareholders are down 15% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 12% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for CapMan Oyj (2 don't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Finnish exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About HLSE:CAPMAN

CapMan Oyj

A leading Nordic private assets management and investment firm with an active approach to value creation and private equity and venture capital firm specializing in growth capital investments, industry consolidation, turnaround, recapitalization, middle market buyouts, credit and mezzanine financing in unquoted companies, investments in value-add and income focused real estate, and investments in energy, transportation, and telecommunications infrastructure.

High growth potential low.