Stock Analysis

These Return Metrics Don't Make Wärtsilä Oyj Abp (HEL:WRT1V) Look Too Strong

HLSE:WRT1V
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Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. So after glancing at the trends within Wärtsilä Oyj Abp (HEL:WRT1V), we weren't too hopeful.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Wärtsilä Oyj Abp is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.074 = €231m ÷ (€6.4b - €3.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

So, Wärtsilä Oyj Abp has an ROCE of 7.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Machinery industry average of 7.8%.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the FI Machinery industry.

roce
HLSE:WRT1V Return on Capital Employed October 15th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Wärtsilä Oyj Abp compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

So How Is Wärtsilä Oyj Abp's ROCE Trending?

We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Wärtsilä Oyj Abp. To be more specific, the ROCE was 17% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Wärtsilä Oyj Abp becoming one if things continue as they have.

Another thing to note, Wärtsilä Oyj Abp has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 51%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

The Key Takeaway

In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 58% from where it was five years ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

Wärtsilä Oyj Abp does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wärtsilä Oyj Abp might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.