Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Aspo Oyj (HEL:ASPO) Price Target After Its Latest Report

Investors in Aspo Oyj (HEL:ASPO) had a good week, as its shares rose 5.5% to close at €5.38 following the release of its first-quarter results. The result was positive overall - although revenues of €151m were in line with what the analysts predicted, Aspo Oyj surprised by delivering a statutory profit of €0.09 per share, modestly greater than expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Aspo Oyj from three analysts is for revenues of €631.8m in 2025. If met, it would imply an okay 3.3% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 45% to €0.57. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €633.6m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.56 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

View our latest analysis for Aspo Oyj

With no major changes to earnings forecasts, the consensus price target fell 11% to €6.00, suggesting that the analysts might have previously been hoping for an earnings upgrade.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Aspo Oyj's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 4.5% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 2.2% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.2% per year. It seems obvious that, while the future growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, Aspo Oyj is expected to grow slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Aspo Oyj going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Aspo Oyj (1 is a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.