Telefónica, S.A.

BME:TEF Stock Report

Market Cap: €20.6b

Telefónica Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Telefónica's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.7% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 62.6% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 68.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.4% in 3 years.

Key information

62.6%

Earnings growth rate

68.22%

EPS growth rate

Telecom earnings growth15.5%
Revenue growth rate-0.7%
Future return on equity10.40%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated10 Sep 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Aug 09

TEF: Lowered Price Assumptions And FX Will Shape Q2 Outlook

The analyst price target for Telefónica has been revised lower by roughly €0.55 to reflect updated models after recent market trends and currency effects highlighted in new research from Citi and Barclays. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Telefónica points to a more cautious stance on valuation ahead of the upcoming Q2 report, with price targets now clustered in the €3.50 to €3.80 range.
Narrative Update • Jul 26

TEF: Updated Market And Currency Assumptions Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have reduced the Telefónica fair value estimate from €5.40 to €5.00, citing recent price target cuts to €3.50 and €3.80 from €4.00, which reflect updated models for market trends and currency effects. Analyst Commentary Recent Telefónica research points to a more cautious stance on the stock price, but the revisions also highlight areas where bullish analysts still see room for Telefónica to execute against updated expectations on market trends and currency.
Analysis Article • Nov 28

Telefónica (BME:TEF) Will Pay A Dividend Of €0.1215

The board of Telefónica, S.A. ( BME:TEF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.1215 per share on the 18th of...
Analysis Article • Nov 04

Telefónica (BME:TEF) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of €0.1215

Telefónica, S.A. ( BME:TEF ) will pay a dividend of €0.1215 on the 18th of December. This makes the dividend yield...
Narrative Update • Nov 03

TEF: Potential Vodafone Spain Deal And Modest Margin Gains Will Guide Next Steps

Telefónica’s analyst price target has been raised modestly, with new estimates rising from €4.45 to €4.51. This reflects analysts’ updated views based on slightly improved profit margins and adjusted revenue forecasts.
Narrative Update • Oct 20

Fiber Modernization And Digital Services Will Unlock Future Markets

Analysts have raised their price target for Telefónica from €4.70 to €4.80, citing updated estimates following recent foreign exchange changes and financial results. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts note that updated foreign exchange rates have positively impacted the company's valuation and supported a higher price target.
Analysis Article • Oct 18

Telefónica (BME:TEF) Has Announced A Dividend Of €0.1215

Telefónica, S.A. ( BME:TEF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.1215 per share on the 18th of December...
Analysis Article • Oct 08

Returns On Capital At Telefónica (BME:TEF) Paint A Concerning Picture

What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? More often than not, we'll see...
Analysis Article • Sep 16

Telefónica (BME:TEF) Will Pay A Dividend Of €0.1215

Telefónica, S.A. ( BME:TEF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.1215 per share on the 18th of December...
Narrative Update • Sep 02

Fiber Modernization And Digital Services Will Unlock Future Markets

The consensus Analyst Price Target for Telefónica edged up slightly from €4.35 to €4.41, primarily due to updated foreign exchange impacts and minor model adjustments, with no material change in business fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Updated foreign exchange moves impacting future earnings estimates.
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New Narrative • Nov 07

Fiber Expansion And 5G Investment Poised To Power Future Growth

Telefónica's network investments and strategic agreements solidify market position and future revenue prospects.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BME:TEF - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202834,5422,5002,5727,69714
12/31/202734,0202,3862,3707,52015
12/31/202633,3842,1553,1435,95014
6/30/202636,239-2,5253,7088,935N/A
3/31/202635,906-2,3563,9969,392N/A
12/31/202535,945-2,1994,2769,722N/A
9/30/202541,620-1,0204,15110,225N/A
6/30/202533,9251,2175,79710,710N/A
3/31/202541,963-4654,80810,598N/A
12/31/202436,4411,4455,92610,994N/A
9/30/202440,571-1,4314,79810,531N/A
6/30/202440,287-8695,16511,026N/A
3/31/202440,747-9155,26311,560N/A
12/31/202341,455-1,1465,48811,649N/A
9/30/202339,5641,7325,57012,403N/A
6/30/202339,6531,6905,81812,313N/A
3/31/202341,4111,3795,41312,061N/A
12/31/202240,7761,8025,41311,763N/A
9/30/202241,188-1194,71910,322N/A
6/30/202239,8561273,7179,895N/A
3/31/202239,1187,7264,0679,715N/A
12/31/202139,2777,8843,54010,268N/A
9/30/202140,95910,1914,42611,827N/A
6/30/202142,2709,3255,43413,020N/A
3/31/202142,9231,8265,52913,493N/A
12/31/202043,9491,3325,66713,196N/A
9/30/202046,4592075,10212,882N/A
6/30/202047,580-764,90913,016N/A
3/31/202048,353341N/A13,622N/A
12/31/201949,312860N/A15,022N/A
9/30/201949,1601,676N/A15,266N/A
6/30/201949,1503,258N/A14,616N/A
3/31/201949,4483,140N/A14,461N/A
12/31/201849,5082,929N/A13,423N/A
9/30/201849,7522,798N/A13,143N/A
6/30/201850,8282,498N/A13,943N/A
3/31/201851,9162,703N/A13,674N/A
12/31/201752,8712,856N/A13,796N/A
9/30/201753,4422,327N/A13,899N/A
6/30/201753,7622,471N/A13,900N/A
3/31/201753,5192,344N/A13,874N/A
12/31/201652,9032,113N/A13,338N/A
9/30/201653,091-259N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201653,939-532N/A13,248N/A
3/31/201656,873418N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201555,862368N/A13,615N/A
9/30/201553,8022,863N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TEF is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.9%).

Earnings vs Market: TEF is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: TEF is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TEF's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TEF's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.7% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TEF's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/13 02:38
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Telefónica, S.A. is covered by 41 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew Charles BealeArete Research Services LLP
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Fernando Cordero BarreiraBanco Santander