Inmobiliaria Colonial, SOCIMI, S.A.

BME:COL Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.0b

Inmobiliaria Colonial SOCIMI Valuation

Is COL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COL (€5.65) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€3.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

COL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue22.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA28.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does COL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for COL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
YZBL Zambal Spain Socimi
12.4xn/a€703.6m
YDOA Inversiones Doalca SOCIMI
14xn/a€157.9m
YLFG Lafinca Global Assets SOCIMI
3.3xn/a€163.2m
ARM Árima Real Estate SOCIMI
15.4x25.3%€155.6m
COL Inmobiliaria Colonial SOCIMI
7.5x3.4%€3.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: COL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Office REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a94.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a94.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: COL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.5x) compared to the European Office REITs industry average (8.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.5x
Fair PS Ratio21.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: COL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (21.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.65
€6.22
+10.0%
20.1%€8.50€3.50n/a19
Apr ’25€5.49
€6.31
+15.0%
18.9%€8.50€3.50n/a19
Mar ’25€4.91
€6.37
+29.7%
18.4%€8.50€3.50n/a19
Feb ’25€5.33
€6.42
+20.5%
18.4%€8.50€3.50n/a19
Jan ’25€6.55
€6.49
-0.9%
19.3%€8.50€3.50n/a18
Dec ’24€6.15
€6.45
+4.8%
19.3%€8.50€3.50n/a19
Nov ’24€5.31
€6.64
+25.1%
19.6%€8.50€3.50n/a17
Oct ’24€5.38
€6.84
+27.1%
18.8%€9.50€3.50n/a17
Sep ’24€5.53
€6.87
+24.3%
18.4%€9.50€3.50n/a17
Aug ’24€5.81
€6.88
+18.5%
18.2%€9.50€3.50n/a17
Jul ’24€5.55
€6.95
+25.3%
18.4%€9.50€3.50n/a16
Jun ’24€5.47
€7.01
+28.2%
17.7%€9.50€3.50n/a16
May ’24€5.80
€7.15
+23.4%
18.7%€9.50€3.50€5.5016
Apr ’24€5.83
€7.33
+25.9%
15.3%€9.50€4.90€5.4916
Mar ’24€6.45
€7.35
+14.0%
15.3%€9.50€4.90€4.9116
Feb ’24€6.67
€7.25
+8.8%
16.0%€9.50€4.90€5.3316
Jan ’24€6.01
€7.08
+17.8%
18.1%€9.50€4.90€6.5516
Dec ’23€5.99
€7.08
+18.4%
18.0%€9.50€4.90€6.1516
Nov ’23€5.37
€7.65
+42.5%
21.4%€10.07€4.90€5.3115
Oct ’23€4.94
€7.73
+56.5%
20.5%€10.07€4.90€5.3815
Sep ’23€5.74
€8.27
+44.2%
20.3%€10.25€4.90€5.5315
Aug ’23€6.36
€8.37
+31.6%
19.4%€10.25€4.90€5.8115
Jul ’23€6.09
€8.64
+41.8%
16.2%€10.25€5.50€5.5515
Jun ’23€7.50
€9.34
+24.5%
13.4%€11.20€5.90€5.4715
May ’23€7.97
€9.53
+19.5%
13.4%€11.20€5.90€5.8015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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