ArcelorMittal S.A.

BME:MTS Stock Report

Market Cap: €17.5b

ArcelorMittal Valuation

Is MTS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTS (€22.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€48.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTS?

Key metric: As MTS is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MTS. This is calculated by dividing MTS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MTS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUS$62.28b
Market CapUS$18.18b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MTS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MTS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
ACX Acerinox
0.4x11.9%€2.3b
TUB Tubacex
0.5x11.1%€398.3m
TRG Tubos Reunidos
0.2xn/a€87.0m
STLD Steel Dynamics
1x3.7%US$17.6b
MTS ArcelorMittal
0.3x1.6%€17.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MTS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MTS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

39 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MTS 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies39PS00.81.62.43.24+
39 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MTS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MTS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€22.12
€29.96
+35.5%
16.0%€40.47€23.45n/a13
Dec ’25€23.85
€29.86
+25.2%
15.7%€40.28€23.55n/a13
Nov ’25€22.70
€28.95
+27.5%
16.2%€38.39€21.22n/a13
Oct ’25€23.55
€29.47
+25.1%
13.7%€38.13€23.48n/a13
Sep ’25€21.18
€29.01
+37.0%
14.1%€37.97€23.39n/a13
Aug ’25€19.96
€29.77
+49.1%
13.9%€38.40€24.09n/a13
Jul ’25€21.30
€31.44
+47.6%
13.1%€40.54€26.15n/a13
Jun ’25€24.15
€31.54
+30.6%
13.5%€39.99€25.79n/a13
May ’25€23.58
€31.96
+35.5%
13.3%€39.89€25.92n/a12
Apr ’25€25.47
€31.92
+25.3%
13.4%€40.38€27.20n/a13
Mar ’25€24.09
€31.78
+31.9%
13.1%€39.94€27.22n/a13
Feb ’25€25.54
€31.41
+23.0%
13.3%€40.00€25.18n/a13
Jan ’25€25.67
€31.02
+20.9%
14.1%€40.26€24.62n/a13
Dec ’24€23.47
€29.41
+25.3%
18.5%€40.01€19.50€23.8512
Nov ’24€20.71
€30.97
+49.5%
18.8%€40.33€20.05€22.7012
Oct ’24€23.75
€33.46
+40.9%
14.4%€41.45€23.84€23.5512
Sep ’24€25.10
€33.10
+31.9%
14.0%€40.09€23.53€21.1812
Aug ’24€25.77
€32.79
+27.2%
14.1%€39.98€23.55€19.9612
Jul ’24€24.95
€33.79
+35.4%
13.5%€39.91€25.24€21.3012
Jun ’24€23.84
€35.22
+47.8%
16.8%€49.56€25.58€24.1513
May ’24€25.70
€34.42
+33.9%
16.8%€48.57€24.92€23.5813
Apr ’24€27.89
€34.75
+24.6%
15.8%€47.71€25.00€25.4713
Mar ’24€29.09
€35.72
+22.8%
16.8%€48.80€26.06€24.0912
Feb ’24€28.29
€34.12
+20.6%
18.0%€48.20€24.28€25.5412
Jan ’24€24.59
€32.49
+32.1%
20.5%€46.14€21.07€25.6714
Dec ’23€25.47
€32.77
+28.7%
21.0%€46.83€21.38€23.4714

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 21:10
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

ArcelorMittal S.A. is covered by 61 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert Jan VosABN AMRO Bank N.V.
César Sánchez-Grande BergonAhorro Corporación
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue