Acerinox Valuation

Is ACX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACX (€10.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€18.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ACX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.5x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.5x
TUB Tubacex
10.4x23.3%€378.7m
TRG Tubos Reunidos
2xn/a€110.1m
VID Vidrala
13.7x4.5%€3.2b
CMO Cementos Molins
8xn/a€1.3b
ACX Acerinox
17.4x26.7%€2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the peer average (8.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.4x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ACX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.12
€13.69
+35.2%
17.7%€17.75€8.20n/a15
Apr ’25€10.17
€13.80
+35.8%
15.5%€17.75€9.68n/a15
Mar ’25€9.57
€13.79
+44.0%
15.2%€17.75€9.68n/a16
Feb ’25€9.69
€13.76
+42.0%
15.4%€17.75€9.68n/a16
Jan ’25€10.66
€13.48
+26.5%
14.0%€16.00€9.50n/a16
Dec ’24€10.22
€13.41
+31.2%
14.7%€16.00€9.50n/a16
Nov ’24€9.19
€13.15
+43.2%
15.1%€16.00€9.55n/a16
Oct ’24€9.16
€13.40
+46.2%
13.4%€16.00€9.60n/a16
Sep ’24€9.33
€13.39
+43.5%
12.9%€16.00€9.60n/a16
Aug ’24€9.47
€13.39
+41.4%
12.9%€16.00€9.60n/a16
Jul ’24€9.72
€13.17
+35.4%
15.2%€17.00€9.60n/a16
Jun ’24€9.60
€13.15
+37.0%
17.1%€17.00€8.40n/a16
May ’24€9.80
€12.80
+30.6%
17.7%€17.00€8.40€10.1216
Apr ’24€9.47
€12.79
+35.0%
16.2%€16.00€8.40€10.1716
Mar ’24€10.15
€12.75
+25.6%
16.3%€16.00€8.40€9.5716
Feb ’24€9.95
€12.48
+25.4%
17.5%€16.00€8.40€9.6916
Jan ’24€9.24
€12.38
+33.9%
17.0%€16.00€8.40€10.6617
Dec ’23€9.31
€12.32
+32.2%
17.0%€16.00€8.40€10.2217
Nov ’23€9.03
€12.39
+37.1%
16.7%€16.00€8.40€9.1917
Oct ’23€8.20
€14.16
+72.7%
19.9%€22.00€10.58€9.1618
Sep ’23€8.56
€14.37
+67.8%
18.6%€22.00€11.00€9.3318
Aug ’23€9.18
€14.64
+59.4%
17.8%€22.00€11.75€9.4717
Jul ’23€8.72
€16.18
+85.5%
17.8%€22.00€12.00€9.7218
Jun ’23€12.20
€16.21
+32.9%
17.2%€22.00€12.20€9.6018
May ’23€10.09
€16.27
+61.3%
16.4%€22.00€11.70€9.8018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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