Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Acerinox (BME:ACX) Is Using Debt Extensively

BME:ACX
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Acerinox, S.A. (BME:ACX) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Acerinox

How Much Debt Does Acerinox Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Acerinox had €2.27b of debt, up from €2.09b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had €1.58b in cash, and so its net debt is €690.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BME:ACX Debt to Equity History September 9th 2023

How Healthy Is Acerinox's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Acerinox had liabilities of €2.05b due within 12 months and liabilities of €1.88b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €1.58b and €844.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €1.51b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €2.27b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Acerinox's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Acerinox has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.88. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 23.4 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In fact Acerinox's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 55% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Acerinox can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Acerinox's free cash flow amounted to 34% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Neither Acerinox's ability to grow its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Acerinox's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Acerinox , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.