David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Bodegas Riojanas, S.A. (BME:RIO) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Bodegas Riojanas's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Bodegas Riojanas had €27.2m of debt, an increase on €24.4m, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Strong Is Bodegas Riojanas' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Bodegas Riojanas had liabilities of €20.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €12.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €105.0k as well as receivables valued at €5.94m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €26.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's €24.0m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weak interest cover of 2.5 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 13.9 hit our confidence in Bodegas Riojanas like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. The good news is that Bodegas Riojanas improved its EBIT by 5.3% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bodegas Riojanas will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Bodegas Riojanas's free cash flow amounted to 43% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
We'd go so far as to say Bodegas Riojanas's net debt to EBITDA was disappointing. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Bodegas Riojanas has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Bodegas Riojanas (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BME:RIO
Bodegas Riojanas
Operates in the winemaking business in Spain and internationally.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.