Alfa. de Valuation

Is XALFA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XALFA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XALFA (€0.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XALFA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XALFA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

XALFA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does XALFA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for XALFA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
FDR Fluidra
1.8x3.3%€3.8b
SCYR Sacyr
0.5x1.9%€2.3b
FCC Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas
0.6x2.4%€5.5b
ENO Elecnor
0.5x-1.4%€1.8b
XALFA Alfa. de
0.2x3.6%€62.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: XALFA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XALFA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Industrials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: XALFA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Industrials industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XALFA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XALFA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: XALFA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XALFA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.70
€0.93
+33.1%
13.8%€1.19€0.81n/a6
Apr ’25€0.65
€0.87
+34.7%
17.0%€1.19€0.67n/a7
Mar ’25€0.71
€0.87
+22.3%
17.0%€1.19€0.67n/a7
Feb ’25€0.71
€0.86
+21.8%
17.1%€1.18€0.67n/a7
Jan ’25€0.76
€0.85
+12.1%
17.4%€1.18€0.66n/a7
Dec ’24€0.62
€0.85
+37.4%
17.4%€1.18€0.66n/a7
Nov ’24€0.55
€0.85
+53.7%
16.5%€1.15€0.65n/a8
Oct ’24€0.62
€0.92
+47.8%
21.7%€1.32€0.66n/a10
Sep ’24€0.56
€0.90
+62.0%
22.7%€1.29€0.64n/a9
Aug ’24€0.55
€0.90
+65.5%
22.7%€1.30€0.65n/a9
Jul ’24€0.59
€0.96
+61.4%
18.2%€1.28€0.71n/a10
Jun ’24€0.61
€0.95
+56.1%
17.7%€1.27€0.70n/a10
May ’24€0.56
€0.92
+63.0%
18.0%€1.21€0.67n/a10
Apr ’24€0.56
€0.93
+64.9%
17.3%€1.22€0.67€0.6510
Mar ’24€0.64
€0.98
+53.7%
15.6%€1.23€0.78€0.719
Feb ’24€0.64
€0.95
+48.6%
14.9%€1.20€0.81€0.7110
Jan ’24€0.69
€0.95
+38.9%
14.9%€1.20€0.81€0.7610
Dec ’23€0.63
€0.98
+56.6%
14.3%€1.24€0.84€0.6211
Nov ’23€0.63
€0.98
+56.6%
14.3%€1.24€0.84€0.5511
Oct ’23€0.67
€1.04
+56.3%
12.8%€1.27€0.86€0.6211
Sep ’23€0.67
€1.01
+51.5%
12.1%€1.24€0.85€0.5611
Aug ’23€0.72
€0.99
+37.0%
12.9%€1.21€0.78€0.5511
Jul ’23€0.63
€0.96
+51.6%
12.8%€1.19€0.77€0.5910
Jun ’23€0.67
€0.94
+40.5%
14.1%€1.18€0.75€0.6110
May ’23€0.66
€0.91
+38.3%
14.4%€1.15€0.74€0.5610
Apr ’23€0.70
€0.87
+22.8%
12.4%€1.02€0.69€0.5611

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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