Stock Analysis

Even after rising 20% this past week, Duro Felguera (BME:MDF) shareholders are still down 68% over the past three years

BME:MDF
Source: Shutterstock

Duro Felguera, S.A. (BME:MDF) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 20% in the last week. Meanwhile over the last three years the stock has dropped hard. In that time, the share price dropped 68%. So the improvement may be a real relief to some. Perhaps the company has turned over a new leaf.

While the last three years has been tough for Duro Felguera shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

See our latest analysis for Duro Felguera

Because Duro Felguera made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

In the last three years, Duro Felguera saw its revenue grow by 49% per year, compound. That is faster than most pre-profit companies. The share price has moved in quite the opposite direction, down 19% over that time, a bad result. It seems likely that the market is worried about the continual losses. But a share price drop of that magnitude could well signal that the market is overly negative on the stock.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BME:MDF Earnings and Revenue Growth February 13th 2025

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Duro Felguera had a tough year, with a total loss of 57%, against a market gain of about 32%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.6% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Duro Felguera (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Spanish exchanges.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BME:MDF

Duro Felguera

Duro Felguera, S.A. executes turnkey projects for the energy and industrial sectors in Spain, Latin America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Pacific Asia, and internationally.

Slight and slightly overvalued.

Community Narratives

AstraZeneca's Oncology and Obesity Innovations Will Drive Revenue Growth by 10%
Fair Value SEK 2.55k|37.11% undervalued
Unike
Unike
Community Contributor
Leading the Charge in SME SaaS Innovation
Fair Value SEK 100.02|23.535% undervalued
Investingwilly
Investingwilly
Community Contributor
Brookfield Corporation is a solid BUY for a long-term portfolio
Fair Value CA$82.23|1.7389999999999999% overvalued
Jonataninho
Jonataninho
Community Contributor