When you see that almost half of the companies in the Construction industry in Spain have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, Ferrovial SE (BME:FER) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 2.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Ferrovial
How Ferrovial Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Ferrovial has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Ferrovial's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Ferrovial's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ferrovial would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.9%. The latest three year period has also seen a 25% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 3.4% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 3.1% per year, which is not materially different.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Ferrovial's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Ferrovial's P/S Mean For Investors?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Ferrovial currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Ferrovial (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BME:FER
Ferrovial
Engages in the design, construction, financing, operation, and maintenance of transport infrastructure and urban services internationally.
Solid track record average dividend payer.