Ferrovial N.V.

BME:FER Stock Report

Market Cap: €43.8b

Ferrovial Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Ferrovial is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6% and 4.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 6.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15% in 3 years.

Key information

6.0%

Earnings growth rate

6.29%

EPS growth rate

Construction earnings growth8.9%
Revenue growth rate4.6%
Future return on equity14.98%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated04 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Apr 25

FER: Toll Pricing Power And U.S. Inflation Pass Through Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Ferrovial's analyst price target edges higher to €70.93, with analysts citing limited upside after the recent rally but still pointing to potential benefits from 407 ETR pricing and U.S. Managed Lanes inflation pass-through, while unawarded summer project wins are kept outside current valuations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see room for earnings support from potential price increases at the 407 ETR highway, which could help underpin cash flow and justify valuations closer to the current price targets.
Narrative Update • Apr 09

FER: Toll Pricing Power And Managed Lanes Will Frame Balanced Risk Outlook

Ferrovial's analyst price target has been adjusted to €59.88, a level supported by analysts who point to updated discount rate and growth assumptions, an ongoing debate between more cautious views on near term upside after the recent rally, and constructive opinions around toll road pricing and U.S. managed lanes exposure. Analyst Commentary Recent research covers a spectrum of views on Ferrovial, with some analysts focusing on upside potential from core assets and others highlighting more limited room for further re-rating after the recent share price move.
Narrative Update • Mar 25

FER: Toll Pricing Power And New Assets Will Shape Future Risk Balance

Narrative Update Ferrovial's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower as analysts factor in a modestly softer growth outlook and higher discount rate. At the same time, recent target moves to around €70 highlight support from toll road pricing power and potential upside from new assets that is not yet fully reflected in valuations.
Narrative Update • Mar 10

FER: Toll Pricing And Buybacks Will Shape Future Risk Reward Balance

The analyst price target for Ferrovial has inched higher to about €60.06 from €59.90, as analysts factor in slightly higher assumed revenue growth, a modestly lower discount rate, and support from recent bullish coverage that highlights potential benefits from toll price initiatives and U.S. managed lanes exposure, even as some see limited further re rating after the recent share rally. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher price targets of around €70 as a signal that they see room for value creation if Ferrovial executes on its current concessions and pipeline.
Narrative Update • Feb 24

FER: 407 ETR Pricing And Buybacks Will Guide Future Risk Reward Balance

Ferrovial's analyst fair value estimate has shifted slightly higher to €59.90 from €58.39, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, discount rate and future P/E, along with recent Street price targets of €70 that cite expectations around 407 ETR pricing and the U.S. Managed Lanes business. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been lifting their price targets on Ferrovial to €70, pointing to specific assets and earnings drivers rather than broad market themes.
Analysis Article • Feb 09

Does Ferrovial (BME:FER) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Narrative Update • Feb 08

FER: Rising Morgan Stanley Outlook And Buybacks Will Shape Future Returns

Ferrovial's analyst fair value estimate has edged up from €56.98 to €58.39, as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples, alongside a series of recent price target increases from €56 to €64 and then to €70. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting their price targets in stages, from €56 to €64 and now to €70.
Narrative Update • Jan 24

FER: Higher Morgan Stanley Outlook And Index Inclusion Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their price expectations for Ferrovial higher, with the fair value estimate edging up from about €56.52 to €56.98. This move is supported by recent street research in which Morgan Stanley raised its price target in stages from €56 to €64 and then to €70.
Narrative Update • Jan 09

FER: Raised Price Outlook And Index Addition Will Shape Future Balanced Returns

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Ferrovial to €56.52 from €55.77, along with a higher Street price target to €64 from €56, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models on Ferrovial are focusing on how the revised fair value and the higher Street price target line up with their expectations for returns, risk and execution quality.
Analysis Article • Dec 29

Ferrovial (BME:FER) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Narrative Update • Dec 24

FER: Index Addition And Stock Split Will Support Future Balanced Returns

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Ferrovial higher to €55.77 from €53.86, citing expectations of slightly improved profit margins and a modestly higher future earnings multiple that more than offset softer projected revenue growth. What's in the News Ferrovial SE has been added to the NASDAQ-100 Index, increasing its visibility among global institutional investors (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Dec 09

FER: Margin Gains And Stock Split Will Support Balanced Returns

Narrative Update on Ferrovial Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Ferrovial, citing improving profit margins and a slightly lower future P E multiple. Their fair value estimate has moved from approximately EUR 53.18 to EUR 53.86 following recent target increases on the Street, including a move to EUR 52.50.
Narrative Update • Nov 25

FER: Improved Margins And Stable Outlook Will Support Earnings Into 2025

Ferrovial's analyst price target has been increased slightly, rising from €52.99 to €53.18. Analysts cite improvements in profit margin and a continued positive outlook from recent research updates.
Narrative Update • Nov 09

FER: Improved Profit Margins And Solar Projects Will Support Earnings Outlook

Ferrovial's analyst price target has been raised from approximately €50.21 to €52.99. Analysts cite improved profit margins and updated research reports supporting a modest valuation increase.
Narrative Update • Oct 26

Revenue Expansion And Margin Pressure Will Shape Future Sector Fortunes

Ferrovial's updated analyst price target has increased slightly to €50.21. This change reflects analysts' optimism following recent target hikes based on improved revenue growth expectations, despite minor adjustments to discount and profit margin estimates.
Analysis Article • Oct 16

Ferrovial's (BME:FER) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...
Narrative Update • Oct 12

North American Tolls Will Crumble As Regulatory Pressures Intensify

Ferrovial’s analyst price target has increased modestly from €48.54 to €49.58, as analysts cite improving revenue growth forecasts and incremental gains in profit margins. These factors support a slightly more favorable outlook for the company.
Narrative Update • Sep 28

North American Tolls Will Crumble As Regulatory Pressures Intensify

Ferrovial’s consensus price target was revised upwards, driven by robust earnings momentum, expansion in North America, and higher expected returns from core assets, partially offset by macroeconomic and valuation concerns, resulting in a modest increase in fair value from €47.62 to €48.54. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cited robust earnings momentum and improved visibility in Ferrovial’s core infrastructure assets as key drivers for upward price target revisions.
Analysis Article • Sep 22

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Ferrovial (BME:FER) Passed With Ease

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Narrative Update • Sep 13

North American Tolls Will Crumble As Regulatory Pressures Intensify

Ferrovial's consensus price target increased modestly to €47.62 as analysts cited improved outlook for infrastructure assets, strong traffic recovery, and robust cash flow expectations, though some caution remains due to near-term limitations and regulatory uncertainties. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts raised price targets citing improved outlook for key infrastructure assets and ongoing expansion in core markets.
Analysis Article • Sep 08

Is It Time To Consider Buying Ferrovial SE (BME:FER)?

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Ferrovial SE ( BME:FER ). The company's stock saw its share...
Analysis Article • Aug 27

Ferrovial (BME:FER) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article • Aug 15

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Ferrovial SE (BME:FER)

BME:FER 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Ferrovial's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Key...
Analysis Article • Jul 07

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Ferrovial's (BME:FER) Returns On Capital

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article • Jun 22

Ferrovial SE (BME:FER) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Ferrovial SE's ( BME:FER ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.4x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you...
Analysis Article • May 13

What Does Ferrovial SE's (BME:FER) Share Price Indicate?

Let's talk about the popular Ferrovial SE ( BME:FER ). The company's shares saw a decent share price growth of 17% on...
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New Narrative • Nov 07

US Toll Roads And Airport Growth Propel Revenue Amid Construction And Market Challenges

Strong U.S. Toll Roads results and airport passenger growth suggest future revenue increases with infrastructure enhancements in progress.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BME:FER - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202810,9749221,4212,11411
12/31/202710,3458481,2731,86319
12/31/20269,8857367751,68319
12/31/20259,6278681,2731,926N/A
9/30/20259,4892,1081,0991,697N/A
6/30/20259,3493,3479251,468N/A
3/31/20259,2483,2869031,381N/A
12/31/20249,1483,2258811,293N/A
9/30/20248,9961,8628501,235N/A
6/30/20248,8417368191,176N/A
3/31/20248,6785888391,220N/A
12/31/20238,5153208581,263N/A
9/30/20238,2363026071,191N/A
6/30/20237,9571643561,119N/A
3/31/20237,7541391871,020N/A
12/31/20227,55111317921N/A
9/30/20227,6461,262N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20227,3091,26870643N/A
3/31/20227,312960N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20216,910829375784N/A
9/30/20216,512-261N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20216,730-4847961,062N/A
3/31/20216,284-424N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20206,532-4528731,117N/A
9/30/20206,405100N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20206,3872511,1971,520N/A
3/31/20206,204535N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20196,0544587701,129N/A
9/30/20194,097-18N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20195,639115N/A202N/A
3/31/20195,819170N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20185,736392N/A323N/A
9/30/20181,838249N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20181,794265N/A1,119N/A
3/31/201812,027221N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20175,152371N/A1,280N/A
9/30/201712,255484N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201712,120427N/A1,235N/A
3/31/201711,560291N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201610,758376N/A1,172N/A
9/30/201610,166516N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20169,662642N/A941N/A
3/31/20169,637759N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20159,701720N/A1,130N/A
9/30/20159,546615N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20159,378501N/A1,433N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FER's forecast earnings growth (6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.7%).

Earnings vs Market: FER's earnings (6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Spanish market (11.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FER's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: FER's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Spanish market (6.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FER's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FER's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/06 07:01
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/06 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ferrovial N.V. is covered by 31 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
José ArroyasBanco Santander
Nabil AhmedBarclays