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FER: Improved Margins And Stable Outlook Will Support Earnings Into 2025

Update shared on 25 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 0.35%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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Ferrovial's analyst price target has been increased slightly, rising from €52.99 to €53.18. Analysts cite improvements in profit margin and a continued positive outlook from recent research updates.

Analyst Commentary

Recent updates from major investment banks highlight a largely optimistic sentiment toward Ferrovial's improving fundamentals and valuation prospects. Although most commentary has been positive, analysts continue to weigh both growth potential and ongoing risks.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts point to the company's rising price targets due to solid execution and an expanding profit margin. This suggests management’s operational improvements are yielding tangible results.
  • Upward revisions in valuation reflect confidence in Ferrovial's growth trajectory, driven by continued positive financial performance and favorable industry conditions.
  • Several analysts maintain buy or overweight ratings, citing the company's stable project pipeline and exposure to growth markets as key enablers for continued outperformance.
  • Increased price targets are attributed in part to constructive research updates. These highlight the resilience of Ferrovial’s business model and its ability to deliver on earnings expectations.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts note that higher valuation multiples could limit further upside unless Ferrovial exceeds forecasted growth and financial targets.
  • Some caution that global macroeconomic uncertainties may pose risks to infrastructure demand and project execution, which could potentially impact near-term growth.
  • A small group of analysts remains alert to potential regulatory changes in key geographies, which could present unforeseen operational challenges.

What's in the News

  • Ferrovial SE announces a stock split at a ratio of 1 for 2.09688, effective October 28, 2025 (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from €52.99 to €53.18, reflecting minor appreciation in the company's assessed intrinsic value.
  • The Discount Rate has decreased marginally from 7.71% to 7.68%, suggesting a moderate reduction in perceived risk.
  • Revenue Growth projections have edged down from 3.99% to 3.93%, indicating a small adjustment in anticipated expansion.
  • The Net Profit Margin is marginally higher, increasing from 8.02% to 8.05%, pointing to a modest improvement in profitability.
  • The future P/E ratio has remained relatively unchanged, moving from 55.91x to 55.92x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.