Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.

BME:XBBAR Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.5b

Banco BBVA Argentina Valuation

Is XBBAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XBBAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XBBAR (€5.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XBBAR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XBBAR?

Key metric: As XBBAR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for XBBAR. This is calculated by dividing XBBAR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is XBBAR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.2x
EarningsAR$136.00b
Market CapAR$3.69t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XBBAR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XBBAR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.6x
UNI Unicaja Banco
7.4x-3.8%€3.2b
BKT Bankinter
8.2x0.2%€7.1b
SAB Banco de Sabadell
6.8x-2.9%€10.1b
CABK CaixaBank
8x-1.3%€41.1b
XBBAR Banco BBVA Argentina
27.2x22.2%€3.7t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XBBAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the peer average (7.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XBBAR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
XBBAR 27.2xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XBBAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XBBAR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XBBAR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.2x
Fair PE Ratio10.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: XBBAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XBBAR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.75
€7.06
+22.8%
40.5%€9.92€4.20n/a2
Nov ’25€3.76
€7.06
+87.8%
40.5%€9.92€4.20n/a2
Oct ’25€3.76
€6.70
+78.2%
47.4%€9.88€3.53n/a2
Sep ’25€3.48
€5.63
+61.8%
30.7%€7.36€3.90n/a2
Aug ’25€3.86
€5.63
+45.9%
30.7%€7.36€3.90n/a2
Jul ’25€3.86
€5.63
+45.9%
30.7%€7.36€3.90n/a2
Jun ’25€3.86
€5.63
+45.9%
30.7%€7.36€3.90n/a2
May ’25€2.80
€4.65
+66.0%
65.0%€7.67€1.62n/a2
Apr ’25€1.62
€2.46
+52.0%
33.7%€3.29€1.63n/a2
Mar ’25€1.62
€2.55
+57.5%
33.7%€3.41€1.69n/a2
Feb ’25€1.62
€2.55
+57.5%
33.7%€3.41€1.69n/a2
Jan ’25€1.97
€5.16
+161.7%
48.2%€7.64€2.67n/a2
Dec ’24€3.72
€5.16
+38.6%
48.2%€7.64€2.67n/a2
Nov ’24€3.18
€5.16
+62.1%
48.2%€7.64€2.67€3.762
Oct ’24€2.80
€5.16
+84.1%
48.2%€7.64€2.67€3.762
Sep ’24€3.82
€5.16
+35.0%
48.2%€7.64€2.67€3.482
Aug ’24€2.86
€5.13
+79.3%
86.5%€9.56€0.69€3.862
Jul ’24€3.52
€5.36
+52.2%
79.1%€11.01€0.80€3.863
Jun ’24€2.56
€5.64
+120.2%
74.6%€11.13€0.91€3.863
May ’24€2.40
€5.64
+134.9%
74.6%€11.13€0.91€2.803
Apr ’24€2.26
€3.38
+49.7%
63.2%€6.28€1.17€1.623
Mar ’24n/a
€3.38
0%
63.2%€6.28€1.17€1.623
Feb ’24€2.54
€3.38
+33.2%
63.2%€6.28€1.17€1.623
Jan ’24€2.16
€3.38
+56.7%
63.2%€6.28€1.17€1.973
Dec ’23€1.72
€3.61
+109.7%
52.8%€6.07€1.44€3.723
Nov ’23€1.61
€3.61
+124.0%
52.8%€6.07€1.44€3.183

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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