Alexandria Container&Cargo Handling Valuation
Is ALCN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ALCN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ALCN (EGP34.81) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP14.08)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ALCN is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALCN?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is ALCN's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ج.م51.86b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 8.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 10.9x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.8x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ALCN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 23.3x | ||
GSSC General For Silos & Storage | 35.3x | n/a | ج.م3.0b |
2607 Evergreen International Storage & Transport | 12.5x | n/a | NT$34.3b |
DBI Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure | 18.4x | 8.1% | AU$1.4b |
GPPL Gujarat Pipavav Port | 27x | 12.7% | ₹100.7b |
ALCN Alexandria Container&Cargo Handling | 10.8x | 13.9% | ج.م51.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the peer average (23.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ALCN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Infrastructure Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the Global Infrastructure industry average (14.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ALCN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 10.8x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ALCN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ج.م34.81 | ج.م44.21 +27.0% | 14.2% | ج.م51.00 | ج.م35.86 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | ج.م35.38 | ج.م44.21 +24.9% | 14.2% | ج.م51.00 | ج.م35.86 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | ج.م42.96 | ج.م43.43 +1.1% | 17.4% | ج.م51.00 | ج.م35.86 | n/a | 2 |
| Feb ’25 | ج.م64.44 | ج.م40.43 -37.3% | 11.3% | ج.م45.00 | ج.م35.86 | n/a | 2 |
| Jan ’25 | ج.م50.84 | ج.م35.75 -29.7% | 21.2% | ج.م45.00 | ج.م26.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’24 | ج.م40.90 | ج.م26.75 -34.6% | 27.3% | ج.م35.86 | ج.م18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | ج.م35.95 | ج.م23.13 -35.7% | 15.9% | ج.م26.40 | ج.م18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | ج.م32.25 | ج.م23.13 -28.3% | 15.9% | ج.م26.40 | ج.م18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | ج.م27.60 | ج.م23.13 -16.2% | 15.9% | ج.م26.40 | ج.م18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | ج.م24.31 | ج.م22.60 -7.0% | 14.7% | ج.م26.40 | ج.م18.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jul ’24 | ج.م22.82 | ج.م22.60 -1.0% | 14.7% | ج.م26.40 | ج.م18.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | ج.م23.85 | ج.م21.43 -10.2% | 11.6% | ج.م25.00 | ج.م18.00 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’24 | ج.م26.20 | ج.م20.29 -22.6% | 6.9% | ج.م21.70 | ج.م18.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Apr ’24 | ج.م19.11 | ج.م17.85 -6.6% | 28.2% | ج.م21.70 | ج.م8.11 | ج.م35.38 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | ج.م18.00 | ج.م17.20 -4.4% | 31.6% | ج.م21.70 | ج.م8.11 | ج.م42.96 | 4 |
| Feb ’24 | ج.م17.77 | ج.م16.00 -9.9% | 30.0% | ج.م21.00 | ج.م8.11 | ج.م64.44 | 4 |
| Jan ’24 | ج.م18.60 | ج.م14.34 -22.9% | 30.9% | ج.م18.00 | ج.م8.11 | ج.م50.84 | 3 |
| Dec ’23 | ج.م16.99 | ج.م12.51 -26.4% | 35.1% | ج.م16.90 | ج.م8.11 | ج.م40.90 | 2 |
| Jun ’23 | ج.م8.03 | ج.م9.15 +13.9% | 1.6% | ج.م9.30 | ج.م9.00 | ج.م23.85 | 2 |
| May ’23 | ج.م8.50 | ج.م9.15 +7.6% | 1.6% | ج.م9.30 | ج.م9.00 | ج.م26.20 | 2 |
| Apr ’23 | ج.م10.41 | ج.م9.15 -12.1% | 1.6% | ج.م9.30 | ج.م9.00 | ج.م19.11 | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.