Wilson Sons Valuation

Is PORT3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PORT3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PORT3 (R$16.46) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$14.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PORT3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PORT3?

Key metric: As PORT3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PORT3. This is calculated by dividing PORT3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PORT3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.2x
EarningsR$477.15m
Market CapR$7.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PORT3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PORT3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.7x
STBP3 Santos Brasil Participações
14.7x12.2%R$11.2b
ECOR3 EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística
4x-7.9%R$3.5b
13.6x18.4%R$21.6b
MRSA3B MRS Logística
6.6xn/aR$9.7b
PORT3 Wilson Sons
15.2x-3.0%R$7.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PORT3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the peer average (9.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PORT3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Infrastructure Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PORT3 15.2xIndustry Avg. 14.2xNo. of Companies34PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PORT3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the Global Infrastructure industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PORT3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PORT3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.2x
Fair PE Ratio9.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PORT3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PORT3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$16.46
R$16.22
-1.4%
14.7%R$18.40R$12.90n/a3
Dec ’25R$15.77
R$16.22
+2.9%
14.7%R$18.40R$12.90n/a3
Nov ’25R$15.80
R$18.39
+16.4%
24.3%R$23.92R$12.98n/a3
Oct ’25R$17.16
R$19.46
+13.4%
24.6%R$24.59R$13.07n/a3
Sep ’25R$17.20
R$19.46
+13.1%
24.6%R$24.59R$13.07n/a3
Aug ’25R$16.02
R$19.02
+18.7%
22.2%R$23.51R$13.36n/a3
Jul ’25R$15.12
R$19.16
+26.7%
22.5%R$23.18R$13.17n/a3
Jun ’25R$15.40
R$17.64
+14.5%
19.0%R$20.87R$13.02n/a3
May ’25R$16.80
R$17.65
+5.0%
19.0%R$20.87R$13.01n/a3
Apr ’25R$17.85
R$18.06
+1.2%
22.6%R$23.06R$13.07n/a3
Mar ’25R$17.41
R$16.33
-6.2%
14.3%R$18.20R$13.02n/a3
Feb ’25R$16.80
R$16.29
-3.1%
14.1%R$18.12R$13.06n/a3
Jan ’25R$17.46
R$16.29
-6.7%
14.1%R$18.12R$13.06n/a3
Dec ’24R$15.70
R$16.27
+3.6%
14.1%R$18.11R$13.04R$15.773
Nov ’24R$13.56
R$15.50
+14.3%
12.0%R$17.52R$13.02R$15.803
Oct ’24R$14.00
R$15.50
+10.7%
12.0%R$17.52R$13.02R$17.163
Sep ’24R$12.80
R$14.55
+13.7%
10.0%R$16.01R$13.09R$17.202
Aug ’24R$13.08
R$14.30
+9.3%
11.2%R$15.91R$12.70R$16.022
Jul ’24R$13.50
R$14.23
+5.4%
9.3%R$15.96R$12.74R$15.123
Jun ’24R$10.61
R$14.55
+37.2%
8.5%R$16.14R$13.11R$15.403
May ’24R$10.00
R$13.98
+39.8%
7.2%R$15.35R$12.95R$16.803
Apr ’24R$9.62
R$14.40
+49.7%
8.5%R$15.99R$12.99R$17.853
Mar ’24R$10.08
R$14.47
+43.5%
10.3%R$16.49R$12.93R$17.413
Feb ’24R$10.39
R$13.90
+33.8%
7.1%R$15.01R$12.62R$16.803
Jan ’24R$10.81
R$13.90
+28.6%
7.1%R$15.01R$12.62R$17.463
Dec ’23R$10.54
R$13.90
+31.9%
7.1%R$15.01R$12.62R$15.703

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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