Wilson Sons Valuation

Is PORT3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PORT3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PORT3 (R$16.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$15.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PORT3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PORT3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PORT3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.8x
PEG Ratio-36.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PORT3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PORT3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.6x
STBP3 Santos Brasil Participações
23.3x21.4%R$11.7b
ECOR3 EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística
8.9x7.9%R$5.0b
MRSA3B MRS Logística
7.6xn/aR$9.0b
14.6x12.2%R$24.9b
PORT3 Wilson Sons
18.5x-0.5%R$7.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PORT3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (13.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PORT3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Infrastructure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PORT3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the Global Infrastructure industry average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PORT3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PORT3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.5x
Fair PE Ratio10.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PORT3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PORT3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$16.80
R$17.65
+5.0%
19.0%R$20.87R$13.01n/a3
Apr ’25R$17.85
R$18.09
+1.4%
22.8%R$23.17R$13.07n/a3
Mar ’25R$17.41
R$16.32
-6.3%
14.4%R$18.20R$13.00n/a3
Feb ’25R$16.80
R$16.29
-3.1%
14.1%R$18.12R$13.06n/a3
Jan ’25R$17.46
R$16.29
-6.7%
14.1%R$18.12R$13.06n/a3
Dec ’24R$15.70
R$16.27
+3.6%
14.1%R$18.11R$13.04n/a3
Nov ’24R$13.56
R$15.50
+14.3%
12.0%R$17.52R$13.02n/a3
Oct ’24R$14.00
R$15.50
+10.7%
12.0%R$17.52R$13.02n/a3
Sep ’24R$12.80
R$14.55
+13.7%
10.0%R$16.01R$13.09n/a2
Aug ’24R$13.08
R$14.30
+9.3%
11.2%R$15.91R$12.70n/a2
Jul ’24R$13.50
R$14.23
+5.4%
9.3%R$15.96R$12.74n/a3
Jun ’24R$10.61
R$14.55
+37.2%
8.5%R$16.14R$13.11n/a3
May ’24R$10.00
R$13.98
+39.8%
7.2%R$15.35R$12.95R$16.803
Apr ’24R$9.62
R$14.40
+49.7%
8.5%R$15.99R$12.99R$17.853
Mar ’24R$10.08
R$14.47
+43.5%
10.3%R$16.49R$12.93R$17.413
Feb ’24R$10.39
R$13.90
+33.8%
7.1%R$15.01R$12.62R$16.803
Jan ’24R$10.81
R$13.90
+28.6%
7.1%R$15.01R$12.62R$17.463
Dec ’23R$10.54
R$13.90
+31.9%
7.1%R$15.01R$12.62R$15.703
Nov ’23R$11.40
R$14.46
+26.9%
6.4%R$15.54R$13.27R$13.563
Oct ’23R$9.45
R$12.18
+28.9%
7.1%R$13.05R$11.32R$14.002
Sep ’23R$9.02
R$12.13
+34.5%
7.5%R$13.04R$11.21R$12.802
Aug ’23R$8.40
R$11.81
+40.6%
1.8%R$12.02R$11.60R$13.082
Jul ’23R$8.19
R$11.74
+43.3%
2.8%R$12.06R$11.41R$13.502
Jun ’23R$8.87
R$11.71
+32.0%
0.7%R$11.79R$11.62R$10.612
May ’23R$9.30
R$11.36
+22.1%
2.5%R$11.64R$11.08R$10.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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