Real Estate Egyptian Consortium S.A.E

CASE:AREH Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م274.0m

Real Estate Egyptian ConsortiumE Valuation

Is AREH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AREH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AREH (EGP0.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (EGP13.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AREH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AREH?

Key metric: As AREH is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AREH. This is calculated by dividing AREH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AREH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio12.6x
Salesج.م21.80m
Market Capج.م274.00m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AREH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AREH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
EALR Arab Company For Land Reclamation
1.9xn/aج.م287.5m
RREI Arab Real Estate Investment
5.6xn/aج.م377.0m
OBRI El-Ebour for Real Estate InvestmentE
0.7xn/aج.م357.2m
UNIT United for Housing & Development -E
2.8xn/aج.م1.5b
AREH Real Estate Egyptian ConsortiumE
12.6xn/aج.م274.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AREH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.6x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AREH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the EG Real Estate Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PHDC Palm Hills DevelopmentsE
0.7x30.2%US$330.47m
HELI Heliopolis for Housing & Development
0.8x-12.2%US$262.07m
MASR Madinet Masr For Housing and Development
0.8x14.4%US$173.66m
AMER Amer Group Holding CompanyE
0.9xn/aUS$21.08m
AREH 12.6xIndustry Avg. 3.7xNo. of Companies6PS048121620+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AREH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.6x) compared to the EG Real Estate industry average (3.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AREH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AREH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio12.6x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AREH's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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