Ezz Steel Company (S.A.E)

CASE:ESRS Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م57.6b

Ezz Steel Company (S.A.E) Valuation

Is ESRS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ESRS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ESRS (EGP108) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP61.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ESRS is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ESRS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ESRS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.9x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ESRS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ESRS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.3x
IRON Egyptian Iron and Steel
19.1xn/aج.م35.8b
ATQA Misr National Steel - Ataqa
6.4xn/aج.م5.5b
ISMQ Iron & Steel for Mines & Quarries
30.2xn/aج.م4.3b
ENGC Industrial Engineering Company for Construction and Development
9.5xn/aج.م3.2b
ESRS Ezz Steel Company (S.A.E)
27.5x36.8%ج.م57.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ESRS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the peer average (16.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ESRS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a37.0%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a37.0%
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Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ESRS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the African Metals and Mining industry average (12x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ESRS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ESRS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.5x
Fair PE Ratio17.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ESRS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ESRS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م108.00
ج.م107.48
-0.5%
12.3%ج.م120.21ج.م82.10n/a5
Oct ’25ج.م112.65
ج.م107.48
-4.6%
12.3%ج.م120.21ج.م82.10n/a5
Sep ’25ج.م106.11
ج.م109.74
+3.4%
8.2%ج.م120.21ج.م93.40n/a5
Aug ’25ج.م85.51
ج.م109.74
+28.3%
8.2%ج.م120.21ج.م93.40n/a5
Jul ’25ج.م83.39
ج.م104.44
+25.2%
8.9%ج.م115.00ج.م90.10n/a5
Jun ’25ج.م75.60
ج.م104.44
+38.2%
8.9%ج.م115.00ج.م90.10n/a5
May ’25ج.م58.46
ج.م96.70
+65.4%
19.9%ج.م115.00ج.م58.00n/a6
Apr ’25ج.م62.06
ج.م94.20
+51.8%
21.3%ج.م115.00ج.م58.00n/a5
Mar ’25ج.م78.50
ج.م94.20
+20.0%
21.3%ج.م115.00ج.م58.00n/a5
Feb ’25ج.م83.70
ج.م88.20
+5.4%
19.5%ج.م110.00ج.م58.00n/a5
Jan ’25ج.م92.00
ج.م88.20
-4.1%
19.5%ج.م110.00ج.م58.00n/a5
Dec ’24ج.م75.97
ج.م65.88
-13.3%
23.5%ج.م85.00ج.م45.00n/a4
Nov ’24ج.م72.60
ج.م63.62
-12.4%
22.9%ج.م85.00ج.م45.00n/a5
Oct ’24ج.م51.51
ج.م51.10
-0.8%
10.3%ج.م58.00ج.م45.00ج.م112.655
Sep ’24ج.م50.72
ج.م51.10
+0.7%
10.3%ج.م58.00ج.م45.00ج.م106.115
Aug ’24ج.م39.22
ج.م49.38
+25.9%
8.9%ج.م54.60ج.م45.00ج.م85.514
Jul ’24ج.م36.00
ج.م48.28
+34.1%
8.1%ج.م54.60ج.م45.00ج.م83.394
Jun ’24ج.م38.50
ج.م48.28
+25.4%
8.1%ج.م54.60ج.م45.00ج.م75.604
May ’24ج.م40.54
ج.م48.28
+19.1%
8.1%ج.م54.60ج.م45.00ج.م58.464
Apr ’24ج.م34.83
ج.م25.02
-28.2%
22.7%ج.م33.00ج.م20.30ج.م62.063
Mar ’24ج.م29.36
ج.م25.02
-14.8%
22.7%ج.م33.00ج.م20.30ج.م78.503
Feb ’24ج.م24.00
ج.م25.02
+4.2%
22.7%ج.م33.00ج.م20.30ج.م83.703
Jan ’24ج.م23.25
ج.م20.14
-13.4%
14.1%ج.م23.00ج.م15.50ج.م92.004
Dec ’23ج.م17.53
ج.م16.76
-4.4%
17.2%ج.م21.75ج.م14.80ج.م75.974
Nov ’23ج.م16.90
ج.م16.76
-0.8%
17.2%ج.م21.75ج.م14.80ج.م72.604
Oct ’23ج.م14.03
ج.م16.89
+20.4%
16.7%ج.م21.75ج.م14.80ج.م51.514

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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